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Alfonso’s Daily Note

A Major Breakout for Miners

June 2, 2025

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Gold has been one of the strongest and clearest uptrends in the market this year.

While most investors have been glued to recession headlines or getting whipped around by the latest macro drama, gold’s been quietly leading — breaking out to new all-time highs and holding them like a champ.

And now the strength is spreading.

Silver’s finally catching a strong bid. Copper’s perking up. And the miners are finally breaking out.

The Junior...

Alfonso’s Daily Note

All-Time Highs in Israel

May 29, 2025

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There’s real strength showing up abroad—and it’s not some new development. Just more of the same.

Today, my country ETF scan was on fire, showing bullish setups across the globe.

I continue to see leadership out of Europe, Asia, Latin America—even Africa. Many of these charts are in relentless uptrends and holding strong.

And participation just keeps expanding as the good ones seem to drag the laggards higher with them over time.

But the one that caught my eye today was Israel.

Israel isn’t your typical emerging market story. Unlike many other countries, it’s not driven by commodities or heavy industry. Instead, it is built on software, cybersecurity, and innovation.

...
Alfonso’s Daily Note

Toyota is a Tech Investor

May 28, 2025

I’ve been tracking insider transactions for the past three years.

I’ve learned a ton along the way.

From Form 4s and 13Ds/Gs to political filings—hedge funds, the C-suite, you name it. 

There are a million reasons insiders sell: paying for a wedding, getting divorced, buying a house, taking a vacation. But there’s only one reason they buy. And that’s because they think the stock’s going up.

I’ve seen it all—from Nancy Pelosi riding the Mag 7 wave, to CEOs and CFOs stepping in during selloffs, and top hedge funds putting serious skin in the game. We cover all these different insiders. 

Sometimes there’s something there. Sometimes there’s not. 

This morning, we got a big one. I woke up to a monster Form 4 from Toyota Motor showing a $250 million investment in Joby Aviation $JOBY.

Joby’s building electric aircraft for urban air mobility—think of them like flying taxis.

And this is...

Alfonso’s Daily Note

A Juicy Trade

May 27, 2025

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Over the years, my process as a trader and investor has gone through constant refinement. I've learned to trust the charts, simplify my approach, and focus on clean, asymmetric setups.

But something has truly elevated my game recently — and that’s trading options.

I’ve been doing it for quite some time now, but what really helped me take things to the next level is working with Steve and learning how to gain leverage while keeping risk clearly defined. That’s been a game changer.

It’s all about getting more juice out of the same setups — with full control over risk.

Lately, there’s one stock in particular that’s been an absolute textbook example of this.

BigBear.ai Holdings $BBAI.

...
Alfonso’s Daily Note

A Letter from Dr. Copper

May 23, 2025

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Copper’s been stuck in a stiff coil for weeks.

Price has barely moved—just grinding sideways in one of the cleanest compression patterns we’ve seen in a while.

That changed today, as we finally got a big rip to the upside. 

This could be the starting-line momentum needed to finally resolve this 12-month range. 

Tight coils like this usually resolve in fierce fashion. And when they do, big moves ensue.

What I’m saying is I think this breakout has legs...

 

If momentum holds, I’m looking for a move toward the upper end of this base, somewhere around 5.20.

This level represents the all-time highs achieved in May...

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Revisiting Healthcare’s Past

May 20, 2025

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It’s been over five years since COVID.

It feels like yesterday—locked at home, glued to the news, airports shutting down, vaccine headlines everywhere.

That was 2020 and healthcare stocks were some of the biggest winners during that chaos. Pfizer, Moderna, AstraZeneca—they were ripping higher.

But that didn’t last.

Since peaking in March 2020, healthcare stocks have been quietly underperforming. 

The ratio of Equal Weight Health Care vs Equal Weight S&P 500 ($RSPH / $RSP) has been trending lower ever since.

 

Now we’re back to where it all started. 

The ratio is sitting right at a major support level. This...

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Leading the V

May 19, 2025

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We just flipped the script—and it happened fast. In a matter of weeks, we’ve gone from full-blown washout to a full-speed rebound. 

We’re in the middle of a textbook V-shaped recovery. And we’re seeing rotation back into risk assets, which supports the bullish action in the broader market. 

The bulls are back in control.

Just look at Industrials $XLI. It is now the first sector ETF to reclaim its all-time highs and complete the V.

 

This...

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Failed Top in the Dow/Gold Ratio

May 14, 2025

It’s been an incredible week in New Orleans with the whole crew and some of our closest friends.

There’s nothing like getting together in person — sharing ideas, and looking at the market from every angle.

JC opened with his “State of the Markets,” highlighting the hottest ETFs.

Strazza broke down his Breakout Multiplier strategy, and Sean followed with some live trades.

Riley covered robotaxis and flying cars, Louis talked crypto, and Rick closed with speculative tech.

...
Alfonso’s Daily Note

I’m Long Uber

May 12, 2025

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I just arrived in New Orleans for the Portfolio Accelerator event, and I’m absolutely fired up!

It’s my first time here, and the vibe is unreal.

We’ve got three full days ahead of deep-dive trading ideas, strategy sessions, and exploring what’s working in today’s market.

The whole crew is here—JC, Steve, Sean, Louis… it’s going to be amazing.

Now, let’s talk about Uber.

It’s one of my top picks right now.

I included it in last week’s Jr. Mags 7 post—definitely check it out if you haven’t...

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Is Ethereum Back?

May 9, 2025

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Today was Crypto Friday on the Morning Show, and let me tell you—Ethereum absolutely stole the spotlight.

For years, ETH has been the “ugly duckling” of the crypto world, stuck in a sideways chop, underperforming everything else.

But this week, that could finally be changing.

The ETH/BTC ratio is bouncing off those key 2019 and 2020 lows—levels that sparked one of ETH’s best runs ever.

 

I can’t think of a more constructive sign for the entire crypto land than seeing ETH finally take charge and start to catch up.

It’s about time. If ETH is ever going to stop underperforming... it’s now.

That...

Alfonso’s Daily Note

The Next Magnificent 7

May 8, 2025

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Everyone knows the Magnificent Seven — the giants that led the last few cycles and sit atop the market cap leaderboard.

They were the best investments of their time. 

One could easily argue they are the best stocks  of all time. 

But a new wave of leadership is emerging.

A fresh generation of growth companies are stepping up, poised to become the next global dominators.

These aren’t moonshot growth plays — they’re real businesses with solid revenue, scale, and strong momentum.

Call them the Successors, the Junior Mag 7 — whatever name sticks.

What matters is they have all the ingredients to lead...

Alfonso’s Daily Note

All Eyes on the Euro

May 7, 2025

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The US Dollar Index $DXY lives and dies by the Euro.

The Eurozone and the US are two of the largest economic blocs in the world, and their currencies sit at the heart of global trade and capital flows. 

It’s no surprise that the Euro makes up nearly 60% of the DXY — so when EUR/USD moves, it doesn’t just influence the Dollar Index, it drives it.

This year, the Euro has ripped higher in a near-vertical line, breaking out of a massive multi-year base.

 

Now price is coiling just above former resistance near 1.1240 — a key level that’s flipped into support.

This is a textbook bullish pennant pattern forming right above the breakout level, with strong momentum behind it.

...