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Hot Corner Insider

Director Levy Reports a $55.5 Million $BLDR Buy

May 12, 2025

Every day, we sift through the filings to spot where the real conviction lies — cutting through the noise to highlight the most meaningful insider moves.

Here's what stood out today:

📌 Palantir $PLTR – Director Heather Planishek grabbed $1.16 million with the stock just a few points shy of all‑time highs – insider fuel for the AI‑data leadership breakout bid.

📌 Builders FirstSource $BLDR – Director Paul Levy wrote a jaw‑dropping $55.5  million check – one of the biggest open‑market buys we’ve seen in years and a monster vote of confidence in a stock that halved off its highs a year ago. 

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from May 12, 2025:

 

Click the table to enlarge it.

📌 Kratos Defense $KTOS – President & CEO Eric DeMarco bought $250,...

This Monster Isn't Done Yet 👹

May 12, 2025

Monster Beverage $MNST has been quietly building pressure for years, and this quarter may have just been the catalyst it needed.

The company reported mixed results, but the stock still managed to climb 1.4%. 

They've now been rewarded for 18 of their last 26 earnings reports. 

That’s not noise...

That’s a pattern!

This isn’t some speculative upstart. 

It’s one of the most successful stocks of the 21st century. Since 2001, the price has increased by more than 200,000%. 

And now, after years of sideways action, it's knocking on the same resistance it’s failed at multiple times before.

Could it be time for the stock to moon again?

So what else did we learn from Friday's earnings reactions? Let’s dive into the details.

Here are the latest earnings reports from the S&P 500 👇 

*Click the image to enlarge it

Insulet $PODD had the best reaction score after reporting a double beat.

The company reported revenues of $570M, versus the...

Macke's Retail Roundup,
Macke's Retail Roundup+

We Are So Back: Winners and Losers

May 12, 2025

We are so freaking back.

In a turn of events which would have been shocking virutally any other time in American history the administration finally agreed to a firm 90 day pause on the Chinese tariffs. "Firm" and "Pause" and "Deescalation" and, really, every word I'd normally apply to these type of announcements obviously come with a grain of a salt these days. This pause could be declared over by the time this note publishes. 

Regardless, we've got a new playing field. It's time to reassess our situation and how it impacts our stocks.

The Field Position:

The XRT consumer index is gapping higher on Monday morning and now clearly forming what I call an Inverted Batman. Silly name, real chart. The basic idea is stocks plunge, first gradually (consumer stocks started breaking at the end of January) then with a smash (the Liberation Day crash). At that point they grind a bit. The Worst Case Scenario gets priced in. Optimism, guarded and cynical though it may be, builds until, finally, the fever breaks and folks start chasing higher.

To whit:

 

You can call the chart whatever you'd like but the price moves line-up quite...

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The 6,400% Monster With More Juice to Squeeze 🍊📈

May 11, 2025

Short sellers are getting squeezed, and you can see it.

These investors have been caught offside, and they're being forced to liquidate their short positions.

They're suffering right now, and that's precisely when we want to come in with the Freshly Squeezed strategy.

Here's our latest Freshly Squeezed table: 

 

As you can see, Hims & Hers Health $HIMS, Sezzle $SEZL, and Porch Group $PRCH are at the top of the scan. 

Over the last 10 trading sessions, they've rallied 85%, 81.6%, and 74.5%, respectively.

We also have tables sorted by short interest and days-to-cover.

Now, let's talk about today's setup and why we think the short sellers are about to get their faces ripped off.

First, here's some context 👇

Sezzle $SEZL is an emerging "buy now, pay later" platform based in...

The Daily Number

Everyone’s a Bear — Should You Be a Contrarian?🐻

May 11, 2025

Today's number is... 2025

In 2025, we’re in historic territory for bearish sentiment.

We’ve now seen 14 consecutive weeks where AAII Bears have outnumbered AAII Bulls. 

And it gets even more extreme with the AAII Bears, which have stayed above 50% for 11 straight weeks.

Here’s the chart:

 

 Let's break down what the chart shows:

  • The red line in the top panel shows the number of consecutive weeks where AAII Bears > AAII Bulls.
  • The red line in the bottom panel tracks the number of consecutive weeks where AAII Bears have remained above 50%.

The Takeaway: This is a prolonged period of pessimism that deserves attention. We have seen 14 consecutive weeks during which the AAII Bears have outnumbered the AAII Bulls, marking the 5th longest stretch of bearish sentiment on record. 

The extreme data does not stop there; we have also seen that for the past 11 straight weeks, the percentage of AAII Bears has exceeded 50%. This level of bearish sentiment has never persisted for this length of time before.

When...

Hot Corner Insider

Top Insider Buys of the Week

May 11, 2025

Every weekend, I dive into our insider activity tracker looking for the most interesting and bullish buys — and let me tell you, this week stood out with a rare mix of high-conviction buys.

Let’s break it down:

 

The most important insider buy this week came from Organon & Co $OGN.

Both the CEO and CFO stepped in together, scooping up nearly $400K worth of stock. 

You don’t often see that kind of coordinated action from the top two execs — and when you do, it usually means they’re expecting significant upside, and soon. 

Next, we’ve got MiMedx Group $MDGX, where the CEO Joseph H. Capper bought over $1.2 million worth. 

That’s a strong show of confidence in a biotech name that’s been flying under the radar.

Hillman Solutions $HLMN also saw some bullish buying — their CFO & Treasurer reported nearly...

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The Strazza Letter

Tomorrow's Trillion Dollar Club

May 11, 2025

I’m always thinking about where the next big winners will come from.

Who will be the secular leaders of tomorrow?

What will be the next mega trend?

Who has the scale and the reach to dominate an industry?

What are the big ecosystem plays of the future?

But, I’m not only thinking about the fundamentals. It has to be confirmed by the technicals.

I love a good growth story as much as anyone, but I’m not going to fly blind with it.

One thing I know about stocks like the Magnificent Seven is they didn’t get to their size by accident.

The best stocks consistently outperform the overall market. That's what makes them the best!

So, I’ve learned to look out for this kind of thing. I never want to miss these trends.

The...

This Week in Earnings: From Beats to Beatings 📈📉

May 11, 2025

Last week was packed with earnings events.

We heard from some of the biggest names in the market - including several Magnificent 7 giants, the world’s largest financial company (Berkshire Hathaway $BRK.A / $BRK.B), and plenty more.

There were some sweet earnings reactions. 

And some pretty terrible ones, too...

Here's what we talked about last week:

  • Monday:
    • Amazon.com $AMZN reported a double beat, but was punished for it. This was the 4th consecutive quarter of the market not rewarding the stock for its earnings report.
    • Apple $AAPL was also punished for reporting a double beat. The stock has experienced negative earnings reactions in 6 of the last 8 quarters.
  • Tuesday:
    • Berkshire Hathaway $BRK.A / $BRK.B reported a double miss and fell over 5%. This was the stock's worst earnings reaction since 2011.
    • Zimmer Biomet $ZBH reported a double beat,...
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Saturday Morning Chartoons: Doji Week

May 10, 2025

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

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The Strazza Letter

A Solar Squeeze Is Upon Us

May 9, 2025

More and more risk-on areas of the market are perking up with every passing day.

We’ve watched risk-appetite steal the show overseas in recent weeks, and now we’re seeing it stateside in US markets.

Small caps have outperformed off the April lows.

Speculative growth and ARK stocks have outperformed off the April lows.

Tech has led. Discretionary has led. Growth has led. High beta has led. 

All of this leadership boils down to the same thing.

Investors are embracing risk at an increasing rate. They want more exposure to the riskiest stocks and assets around the world, not less.

We just talked about this at our live event yesterday. We’re listening to the market and getting more aggressive on the long side.

...
Alfonso’s Daily Note

Is Ethereum Back?

May 9, 2025

Sign up for my free note here.

Today was Crypto Friday on the Morning Show, and let me tell you—Ethereum absolutely stole the spotlight.

For years, ETH has been the “ugly duckling” of the crypto world, stuck in a sideways chop, underperforming everything else.

But this week, that could finally be changing.

The ETH/BTC ratio is bouncing off those key 2019 and 2020 lows—levels that sparked one of ETH’s best runs ever.

 

I can’t think of a more constructive sign for the entire crypto land than seeing ETH finally take charge and start to catch up.

It’s about time. If ETH is ever going to stop underperforming... it’s now.

That...

All Star Charts Gold Rush,
All Star Charts Premium

(Commodities Weekly) The Energy Trade Is Unraveling 📉🐻

May 9, 2025

When we last checked in, Crude Oil futures were falling apart as they sliced through significant levels of support like butter. 

The breakdown wasn’t subtle. It was decisive and came alongside broad weakness in the entire commodity complex.

Now, the carnage is spreading.

This week, it’s not just energy commodities that are under pressure...

It’s also the stocks tied to them.

Let’s start with the equal-weight ratio of the Energy Sector vs. the S&P 500: 

This ratio ($RSPG / $RSP) has been treading water in a sideways range for over two years. 

It has bounced from the same support level multiple times, but that level is now under serious threat. 

We’ve got a massive topping pattern on our hands. It's rounded, heavy, and on the verge of a confirmed breakdown.

One more leg lower, and Energy’s former leadership story gets completely erased.

But that’s just the beginning…

Small-cap energy stocks have already...
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International Hall of Famers (05-09-2025)

May 9, 2025

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

We've also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It's got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Let's dive in and take a look at some of the most important...

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Get On This Bike and Ride!

May 9, 2025

Stretch your legs and call this THE RE-AWAKENING TRADE. Implied volatility is through the floor in today's name, as traders have been bored to sleep on this former high-flier, making long-term calls cheap and a great potential reward-to-risk. 

Macke's Retail Roundup,
Macke's Retail Roundup+

Video: Earnings Report Cards for DIS and PTON

Below is my weekly video for members of Macke's Retail Roundup. 

We've entered the retail portion of earnings season. This week I analyzed the reports and reactions from DIS and PTON, two consumer stocks I watch closely for different reasons. 

As usual, I also gave 3 names that are on my radar for potential additions to the portfolio, including when I'd buy them. 

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 5/9/25

May 9, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in IBB.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

Hot Corner Insider

Director Robert Scully Reports a $1.5 Million KKR $KKR Buy

May 9, 2025

Every day, we sift through the filings to spot where the real conviction lies — cutting through the noise to highlight the most meaningful insider moves.

Here's what stood out today:

📌 KKR $KKR – Director Robert Scully bought 13,250 shares, equivalent to $1.5 million.

This is the largest Form 4 of the day and a notable show of conviction.

📌 Caterpillar $CAT – Director David MacLennan disclosed a $120,000 buy, putting fresh skin in the game at this industrial bellwether.

CAT often acts as a leading indicator for the broader economy — and insider interest here could be telling.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from May 8, 2025:

 

Click the table to enlarge it.

📌 Solaris Energy Infrastructure $SEI – Millennium Management just...