Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the week ended January 20, 2023. This report is published bi-weekly and rotated with The Minor Leaguers.
What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.
We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.
There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.
Click here for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.
Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options...
From the Desk of Steve Strazza @sstrazza and Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts
This is one of our favorite bottom-up scans: Follow the Flow.
In this note, we simply create a universe of stocks that experienced the most unusual options activity — either bullish or bearish, but not both.
We utilize options experts, both internally and through our partnership with The TradeXchange. Then, we dig through the level 2 details and do all the work upfront for our clients.
Our goal is to isolate only those options market splashes that represent levered and high-conviction, directional bets.
We also weed out hedging activity and ensure there are no offsetting trades that either neutralize or cap the risk on these unusual options trades.
What remains is a list of stocks that large financial institutions are putting big money behind.
And they’re doing so for one reason only: because they think...
It's not a secret around here that Energy stocks have been doing well.
No one here cares that some investors got caught holding the bag in those growthy tech stocks, and didn't have anywhere near enough energy exposure over the past couple of years.
It's not my fault that the S&P500 was only 2% Energy but 26% Technology.
But just because inflation might begin to ease doesn’t mean I’m taking a bearish stance on inflationary assets, especially commodities.
As crazy as that may seem, these next four charts support my case…
Check out the long-term chart of gold futures overlaid with copper:
These metals are in the process of carving out decade-long bases.
Based on Friday’s intraday action, gold is trading above its prior commodity supercycle peak at approximately 1,924, while copper is holding less than 50 cents...
What do the movies The Wizard of Oz and The Matrix have in common? The answer is that they both are stories about artificial intelligence. The Wizard of Oz is one of the earliest examples of this in popular culture, with the philosophical question of what types of AI matter most - was it the Scarecrow, who needed brains (computational power), or the Tin Man, who needed heart (the emotional intelligence to understand us)?
Thanks to the efforts of early pioneers in the field like Alan Turing in the 1950s, who helped address and begin work on these problems, we can fast forward 70 years and marvel at contemporary companies like OpenAI, that have solved many of those initial challenges.
Here at All Star Charts, we’re more old school – but we’re not outdated. We know that the foundations of technical analysis are predicated on the study of behavioral science, and how biases like price anchoring, fear, and greed create repeatable patterns we can take advantage of.
And since we’re on the subject, it turns out that investors, computers, whoever or whatever is driving the market moves we’re seeing today; they’re paying attention heavily to...