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These Whipsaws Could Lead To Market Correction

December 26, 2020

"JC, how can you be buying stocks up here?"

"JC, stocks are overvalued"

"JC, stocks have gone too far too fast"

"JC, aren't we due for a correction?"

I've heard some version of this every single day since the Spring.

These are the types of questions that come my way during bull markets. I don't get them when stocks are in downtrends, that's for sure. Different types of questions come in those environments (How low can we go? Aren't we due for a bounce? etc)

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Welcome To The Minor Leagues!

December 22, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

In a further effort to identify individual equities that fit within our larger more Macro thesis, we couldn't be happier to roll out and share our latest bottoms-up scan: "The Minor Leaguers."

We'll also be writing a post every other week where we outline some of our favorite setups from the watchlist. This is the first edition.

Moving forward, we'll be rotating this column with "Under The Hood" each week.

In order to make it onto our Minor League list you must have a market cap between $1 and $2B. There are also price and liquidity filters.

Then, we simply sort the stocks by their percentage from new highs. Easy.

Santa Claus Rally Begins Thursday

December 22, 2020

It's that time of the year again. This is when we hear things like the "January Effect", the "First 5 Days of the Year Indicator", "Santa Claus Rally", "January Barometer" and all sorts of seasonal-type conversations.

Remember, we're right in the heart of "The Best 3 Month Period of the Year". You always hear, "Sell in May and Go Away", but as we pointed out on Nov 6th, it's waaaay more important to "Remember to Buy in November", or "Buy in October and Get Yourself Sober". Either one of those works.

Wall Streeters have all kinds of silly sayings to help remember important things. "The trend is your friend", "Don't fight the Fed", and "Bottom Fishing Can Be Hazardous To Your Wealth" are all good ones that you've probably heard before.

Today I want to talk about the significance of the Santa Claus Rally, and the fact that it might not even come at all. And that in and of itself would be the signal.

Let me explain.

[Video] JC & Howard Lindzon: What's NOT a Tech Stock at this point?

December 22, 2020

This week Howard and I discuss what "Technology" actually means. With companies like Google, Amazon and Facebook representing ZERO PERCENT of the Technology Index, people continue to group them into Tech regardless.

Is that right? Should we ignore Dow Jones and their weightings? Or is it important to acknowledge which stocks are in these indexes and which ones aren't?

When asked about underperformance from Europe and Emerging Markets, Howard says "I filter the world to only see what's working. I'm all about investing for profit and joy, not misery and pain"

This was a fun chat.

Here's the video in full:

Fresh Breakouts In Titan & Havells

December 22, 2020

We've liked the Consumer Durables space for several months now and the sector is finally accelerating to the upside in December.

Today we're highlighting major breakouts in two of the sector's top names, Havells and Titan.

Let's get into the charts and how we're trading them.

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RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (12-18-2020)

December 21, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Louis Sykes @haumicharts

At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the absolute and relative trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.

We continue to pound the table on leadership down the market-cap scale. There's been strong evidence over the past few weeks/months suggesting this is a structural trend reversal in the large vs small-cap ratio.

Things Investors Don't Buy In Bear Markets

December 20, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Last week's Mystery Chart was the Uranium ETF $URA zoomed all the way out to its inception and inverted.

I really hate to do that to you guys, but someone actually guessed it!

More importantly, though, most of you were selling the chart... so buying the Uranium ETF. Yes, you heard that right... buying Uranium.

In this post, we analyze a handful of other rarely covered and lesser-known risk-assets - but first, let's look at Uranium.

Iron Ore hits 7-year highs, Why should we care?

December 19, 2020

For months now, we've been pointing to the fact that metals are doing great. It's just that Gold isn't one of them.

Base metals are where the smart money has been flowing. Copper has been hitting the highest levels since 2013 and absolutely embarrassing the performance of its precious metals counterpart, Gold which has not been so golden.

Copper outperforming Gold is consistent with higher Interest Rates, and we've been getting those too.

More specific to Base Metals on an absolute basis, the positive correlation with Emerging Market Stocks is off the charts. Here is Iron Ore making new 7-year highs overlaid with the Emerging Markets Index so you can see how closely they trade together:

The Best Of Our New Breadth Chartbook

December 19, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza 

We just published our brand new, revised and expanded, breadth chartbook. Premium Members can check it out here.

We had over 250 charts in our internal chartbook, but cut it down to about half of that so it's not a marathon to get through.

We cover breadth indicators from percent overbought/oversold to new highs and lows, A/D lines, and more. We do this for all the major averages as well as sector indexes.

After digging through all these charts, we'd be remiss not to share some of our favorites with you. We'll go over some in this post.

Top/Down Take: Bajaj Finance (BAJFINANCE)

December 19, 2020

Here we go with another round of our Top-Down Take weekly post. At All Star Charts we like to keep things simple and look at the bigger picture. We let the charts speak to us and then decide what to do. Always remember, the Trend is our Friend.

Today we’ll take a popular pick – Bajaj Finance - and see what what the chart has to say at current levels.