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Alfonso’s Daily Note

The Rotation Powering China

February 7, 2025

If you’ve been following me for a while, you know I’ve been long China.

This is a bet against the crowd. Nobody trusts these companies or their numbers—honestly, I don’t either. But I don’t have to. 

I trust price.

And for months now, these stocks have been catching a relentless bid. That kind of price action tells me everything I need to know.

Investors are willing to take the risk, and as long as price keeps confirming it, I am too.

One big reason China is working—something no one’s really talking about—is the quiet rotation happening across emerging markets.

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Gold Keeps Running

February 6, 2025

Gold has been an absolute monster since breaking out of that massive base last year.

Gold bugs can't complain—this is what they've been waiting on for years, and now they’re finally getting paid.

They’ve got the ball and are sprinting downfield with no one in sight.

This week, price ripped out of another tight consolidation to fresh all-time highs, just like it did last September

Alfonso’s Daily Note

CAD/USD at a Tipping Point

February 4, 2025

When it comes to Canada, it's not about tariffs or political headlines making the rounds these days.

The real focus is the Canadian Dollar.

With nearly a 10% weighting in the Dollar Index $DXY, CAD is a crucial piece of the broader currency puzzle.

CAD/USD is pressing against a decade-long support zone, hovering around a key level that triggered strong reversals in 2016 and 2020.

Alfonso’s Daily Note

There’s Always a Reason to Sell

February 4, 2025

Every year, without exception, there's always a new headline, a fresh "fear," or just another reason to sell.

Whether it's a new geopolitical tension, economic concerns, or the latest updates on DeepSeek and tariffs, there's always something that seems to provide something to “worry about.”

But here’s the truth. Investors have dealt with headlines like these for decades. It’s nothing new.

Our friend Ryan Detrick put together a great chart that perfectly illustrates this point.

Alfonso’s Daily Note

I'm Bullish on China

January 30, 2025

Hanging out in New York City this week has been such a blast. 

Today, I gave an extra-long presentation on the outlook for global equities. We talked it all out in the room for several hours. 

For me, there is one big takeaway that towers over the rest. I think 2025 will be all about China. 

In my presentation, I gave three major reasons why I’m bullish on Chinese equities. Here they are:

  • The initiation thrust from September.
  • The rotation happening within emerging markets.
  • The prevailing bearish sentiment around China.

Then, right in the middle of my presentation, Dan Ives showed up.

It was the cherry on top of what has already been an incredible week.

It was epic.

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Portfolio Accelerator Day 1

January 29, 2025

Yesterday was unreal. We visited the NYSE with Jay Woods and got a full tour of the place.

Walking the trading floor during market hours was an incredible experience—watching the action and how things work, staying until the closing bell, and taking in that iconic moment firsthand. I’ll never forget it.

Afterward, we hung out and had some drinks right there on the floor. I feel like I just lived through the classic NYSE traders routine.

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Live From NYC: Exclusive Insights & Strategies

January 27, 2025

Just landed in NYC for our Portfolio Accelerator event, and I couldn’t be more excited!

Every few months, the whole All Star Charts crew gets together with program members and some of our closest friends in the industry for an exclusive gathering of the brightest minds in finance.

It’s the perfect opportunity to connect with incredible people and dive deep into what’s working in the markets right now.

Last year was amazing, but I already know this one’s going to take it to another level.

It’s my third time in the city, and I feel so fortunate to be part of something like this.

Being around some of the sharpest traders, portfolio managers, and technicians isn’t just inspiring—it’s a massive chance to learn and grow.

Alfonso’s Daily Note

🚀 Defying Gravity

January 24, 2025

I’ve been pounding the table on how much I like space stocks lately

These high-beta names are loaded with upside potential, and when they start to move, they really move.

Just look at their performance last year—it speaks for itself.

The ARK Space Exploration & Innovation ETF $ARKX is the best index for tracking this group of stocks.

It’s been the strongest performer of all the Ark funds, hitting new all-time highs this cycle before the rest of the pack.

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Nuclear Power Heats Up

January 23, 2025

The uranium and nuclear power story is heating up again.

Many names in this space are on the cusp of breaking out and embarking on fresh new uptrends.

Take a look at the VanEck Uranium and Nuclear Energy ETF $NLR.

The ETF is breaking higher from a rounding bottom pattern, approaching its highest level since 2008.

Alfonso’s Daily Note

You Can't Have A Party Without The Chips

January 22, 2025

You simply can't have a bull market without semiconductors.

They’ve been the poster child of this cycle. But, it’s bigger than that.

They are the most important companies in the world. The lifeblood of the global supply chain. The gas for the globalized economy. Semiconductors make it all work. They are in everything.

However, for the last six months, semis have been catching their breath, chopping sideways in a tight range on both an absolute and relative basis.

That changed today as the VanEck Semiconductors ETF $SMH finally broke out, clearing a shelf of Q4 highs around 264.50.

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Infrastructure Stocks Gear Up for a Breakout

January 21, 2025

Infrastructure companies play a key role in supporting the global economy and are at the forefront of some serious mega trends. 

These companies literally build and service our everyday lives. 

After 17 years of no progress, the iShares Global Infrastructure ETF $IGF is now challenging its pre-financial crisis highs as buyers work to complete a massive base.