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Time To Bet On The Bull

March 9, 2024

The stock market feels heavy.

The majority of stocks are having a hard time making new highs.

Some of the largest Technology and Consumer Discretionary stocks keep breaking down to new lows.

So let's check in on how the journalist community feels about the current market:

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Catch Copper on the Breakout

March 8, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Gold is up for the sixth day in a row – and it looks like this week’s breakout might be the real deal.

If it is — and gold continues to rip — it’s only a matter of time before copper breaks out too.

Check out the overlay chart of gold and copper futures:

Where gold goes, copper follows. Or perhaps they simply enjoy similar paths.

The rhyme or reason makes no difference. During a commodity bull run, precious and industrial metals will enter a broad markup phase. Gold will not take off on a rip-roaring rally without copper by its side.

I placed a question mark above copper’s former resistance level, marked by the 2011 and 2022 highs. To be clear, the annotation poses the question of when — not if – copper will resolve higher.

But before Dr. Copper can break the psychological...

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The Hall of Famers (03-08-2024)

March 8, 2024

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

*Click table to enlarge view

We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month.

Then, we sort the remaining names by their proximity to new 52-week highs.

This leaves...

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Investors Load Up on Emerging Market HY Bonds

March 8, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

A risk-on revival has captivated the markets.

Investors are rising to their feet…

They’re buying stocks. They’re buying crypto. They’re buying gold.

Hell, they’re even buying high-yield Emerging Market bonds!

Check out the Emerging Market High Yield Bond ETF $EMHY breaking to a new multi-year high:

I throw this EMHY breakout into the same camp as the Biotech ETF $XBI blast offrisk-on.

It’s downright impossible to hold a bearish outlook while investors dance with the riskiest bonds on offer.

If you actively trade bond ETFs, you gotta be long EMHY above 37. For me, the EMHY breakout isn’t a trading event. 

Instead, it’s all about the behavior behind...

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[Options Premium] Dashing For the Door

March 8, 2024

Today's trade is a bet on the speculative juices continuing to flow through the summer. This stock has been performing fantastically since the November stock market explosion, but if we're a believer that this stock is simply tracing out the right side of a larger base, then we've still got plenty of upside to go.

Here's a chart of DoorDash $DASH:

CFO Pegram Reports a $600,000 CZR Purchase

March 8, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes via Form 4 filings by the executive vice president and CFO of Caesars Entertainment Inc $CZR, Michael E. Pegram.

Pegram reported a purchase of CZR shares in the amount of $621,750.

Bitcoin: Historic Base Breakout Coming

March 8, 2024

Are you ready for this?

We've seen it before.

Look at this huge base that Bitcoin has put together over the past few years.

The way I learned it many years ago was, "The Bigger The Base, The Higher In Space".

This saying goes back to before the 1950s, according to the late great Alan Shaw.

What this price behavior displays is a long period of accumulation by large institutions.

This process of demand absorbing supply takes time.

The longer it takes, the more explosive the eventual resolution becomes.

Here's what Bitcoin looks like right now:

All Star Charts Gold Rush

Catch Copper on the Breakout

March 8, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Gold is up for the sixth day in a row – and it looks like this week’s breakout might be the real deal.

If it is — and gold continues to rip — it’s only a matter of time before copper breaks out too.

Check out the overlay chart of gold and copper futures:

 

Where gold goes, copper follows. Or perhaps they simply enjoy similar paths.

The rhyme or reason makes no difference. During a commodity bull run, precious and industrial metals will enter a broad markup phase. Gold will not take off on a rip-roaring rally without copper by its side.

I placed a question mark above copper’s former resistance level, marked by the 2011 and 2022 highs. To be clear, the annotation poses the question of when — not if – copper will resolve higher.

But before Dr. Copper can break the psychological barrier of five dollars, it must cut loose above four.

It’s getting close…

 

Copper futures are carving out a multi-month base as buyers chip away at overhead supply.

An eight-week inverted head-and-shoulders pattern is forming just below the breakout level. I expect this pattern to...

March Strategy Session: 3 Key Takeaways

March 7, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We held our March Monthly Strategy Session Monday night. Premium Members can access and rewatch it here.

Non-members can get a quick recap of the call simply by reading this post each month.

By focusing on long-term, monthly charts, the idea is to take a step back and put things into the context of their structural trends. This is easily one of our most valuable exercises as it forces us to put aside the day-to-day noise and simply examine markets from a “big-picture” point of view.

With that as our backdrop, let’s dive right in and discuss three of the most important charts and/or themes from this month’s call.

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Junior Hall of Famers (03-07-2024)

March 7, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

We love our bottoms-up scans here at All Star Charts. We tend to get really creative when making new universes as we want to be sure they will deliver us the best opportunities the market has to offer.

However, when it comes to our latest project, it couldn't be any simpler!

With the goal of finding more bullish setups, we have decided to expand one of our favorite scans and broaden our regular coverage of the largest US stocks.

Welcome to The Junior Hall of Famers.

This scan is composed of the next 150 largest stocks by market cap, those that come after the top 150 and are thus covered by the Hall of Famers universe. Many of these names will someday graduate and join our original Hall Of Famers list. The idea here is to catch these big trends as early on as possible.

There is no need to overcomplicate things. Market cap is a quality filter at the end of the day. It only grows if price is rising. That's good enough for us.

The bottom line is it is a bull market. We want as many vehicles and options...

All Star Charts Crypto

We're Buying MARA Options

March 7, 2024

The easy trade to make in this space is to simply buy Bitcoin on a breakout to new all-time highs. But should you want to get more creative with a higher risk/higher reward trade, we have you covered.

Hot Corner Insider

CFO Pegram Reports a $600,000 CZR Purchase

March 7, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes via Form 4 filings by the executive vice president and CFO of Caesars Entertainment Inc $CZR, Michael E. Pegram.

Pegram reported a purchase of CZR shares in the amount of $621,750.

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Mixed FX Markets Support Higher Stock Prices

March 7, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Stocks only go up.

Bitcoin is screaming its way back to the former all-time highs. Crude is printing multi-month highs. Even gold is breaking out to new all-time highs after going nowhere for years.

We’re entering the Davey Day Trader part of the cycle — green hammer and all.

Everything is trending higher. Everything except the dollar, that is…

The US Dollar Index $DXY is trading smack dab in the middle of last year’s October-to-December decline:

DXY rebounded to start the year only to find resistance at a critical retracement level.

It’s your standard trendless mess offering little insight into the dollar's next move.

While the ...

Buffett Reports a $107 Million LSXMA Purchase

March 7, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes via Form 4 filings by Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway.

Buffett and Berkshire reported purchases in The Liberty SiriusXM Group $LSXMA for a total amount of $107 million.

Apple, Google & Tesla All Down

March 7, 2024

Last year's leaders keep falling one by one.

Apple fell yesterday, again, to break down to new 52-week lows relative to the S&P500.

You're seeing similar behavior from Google and Tesla as well.

All Star Charts Crypto

Crypto Trade Ideas

March 7, 2024

Here is a list of trade ideas organized by date, ticker symbol and directional bias. Please make sure you have clicked on the link and read the details surrounding the trade before acting upon any of them. Also, make sure you have checked with your financial advisor and tax accountants to make sure you are suitable to be executing what is discussed on this website. The risk management procedures and targets are detailed for each idea. Please read and review the terms and conditions page before making any trades of your own.

 

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The Short Report (03-06-2024)

March 7, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as "a market of stocks."

Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.

We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions. But there are always stocks that are going up.

The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too. 

We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club.

We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics. 

Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports.

With our Short Report scan, we're also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.

We publish this...