In today's Daily Digest, we'll review:

1. No new positions today.
2. Rolled XHB into April options
3. No exits since the last report.
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let's dig in!

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filing by Frederik Wilhelm Mohn, director at Transocean Ltd $RIG.

Mohn reported a purchase of $4.8 million worth of RIG shares.

What a month for investors!

My understanding is that due to higher inflation, February now has 29 days.

And so here we are: March 1st.

You know what that means?

New Monthly Charts are now available, and we'll be going over it all together this Monday March 4th @ 6PM ET.

Premium Members can register for that here.

In the meantime, check out the monthly candlesticks for Crude Oil Futures. Look at this massive base above support:

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

What happened to those everyday commodity contracts the average investor follows?

I’m talking about crude oil, gold, and copper.

These days, it’s all about cattle futures, orange juice, or cocoa hitting an all-time high. 

I’m sure everyone down at the NYMEX or the folks over at the CBOT in Chicago are having a ball. But what about the stock traders trying to get a piece of the action?

Sure, the energy trade is starting to work again. But gold has been a range-bound mess since the summer of 2020. And gold mining stocks have been an absolute dumpster fire.

It just doesn’t make sense amid a commodity bull run…

No, the absence of gold and copper breakouts doesn’t make much sense, and neither does crude oil underperforming gold as interest rates rise:

But black gold’s lack of relative strength speaks more to the range-bound nature of precious metals than crude oil weakness.

In fact, Gold is retesting its 2020 high for the fourth time in just under four years.

Will it finally break out? 

I don’t know. But an upside resolution in gold futures will likely...

One thing we've learned from well over 100 years of Tradfi, is that during bull markets the laggards catch up to the leaders.

We see the opposite during bear markets, where the remaining leaders end up catching down to the culprits that are already leading the way lower.

You see, with Bitcoin and Ethereum getting all the headlines with their new highs this month, Solana had been the largest crypto currency that was missing in action.

And well here you have it, Solana now joining the party, and being added to the new 52-week high list:

These are the registration details for our Live Monthly Candlestick Strategy Session for Premium Members of All Star Charts.

This month’s Video Conference Call will be held on Monday March 4th @ 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.

Here are the details for Monday evening:

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filing by Frederik Wilhelm Mohn, director at Transocean Ltd $RIG.

Mohn reported a purchase of $4.8 million worth of RIG shares.

In today's Daily Digest, we'll review:

1. New position in XLI.
2. No adjustments are needed today.
3. No exits since the last report.
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let's dig in!

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filing by JANA Partners Management LP.

The investment firm reported a purchase of roughly $11 million in Mercury Systems Inc $MRCY.

There's a lot happening in Crypto Markets right now, in case you hadn't heard. Bitcoin just hit $64,000. We'll talk about all that today at 2.

But even in traditional financial markets, you're seeing massive rotation.

How many investors do you believe are prepared for a market environment where Crude Oil prices are going up and the S&P500 is falling?

We saw that exact rotation last summer and into the Fall. But that was just the appetizer. What are you going to do when the main course gets served?

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

As most of you know, we use various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach.

It's really been working for us!

One way we're doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market...

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

What started out as a bearish reversal in the dollar-yen is beginning to look more like a bullish continuation pattern.

Buying the Japanese yen will produce absolute gangbuster returns – at some point. 

But the market’s simply not there yet…

For starters, Japanese stocks are hitting new all-time highs. These new highs support bullish USD/JPY positioning – long dollar, short yen.

Here’s an overlay chart of the Nikkei 225 Index and the dollar-yen pair, highlighting their positive correlation over longer time frames:

The USD/JPY tends to peak and trough in tandem with the Nikkei. 

We can apply the same logic to global equities, as a dollar-yen rally characterizes a true risk-on environment much like the one we’re experiencing now.

So if the Japanese stocks are taking out their  December 1989 highs, why can’t the dollar-yen do the same?

It’s awfully close to its comparable 1990 high of...

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filing by JANA Partners Management LP.

The investment firm reported a purchase of roughly $11 million in Mercury Systems Inc $MRCY.

Here's something we don't do very often -- we're going to patiently leg into a position.

Bottoms are a process, and we're taking a position that is betting on a turn on a much-maligned overseas market.

We think the turn can be messy and sloppy sideways for a little longer, which will allow us to get better prices if we go into it with a plan.

What if I’m wrong?

I get ideas. Sometimes crazy ones.

I see something in the charts, or read something in the news, or listen to something on spaces and it triggers me into taking action.

Sometimes I’ll take aggressive actions because this idea I have – wherever it came from – is something I feel strongly about. I feel that the odds are heavily stacked in my favor. Or perhaps the payoff, if I’m right, can be so overwhelmingly profitable that it’s impossible to ignore.

We all have these feels about certain trades we’re in from time to time, right?

We get excited. We get optimistic. We start counting our winnings before they’ve even hit our account. It becomes impossible not to daydream.

There’s nothing wrong with any of this.

But what if I’m wrong?

In today's Daily Digest, we'll review:

1. No new positions today.
2. Adjustment to XBI position.
3. No exits since the last report.
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let's dig in!

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider buy on today’s list comes in a Form 4 filing by Cary Grace, president and CEO of AMN Healthcare Services $AMN.

Grace reported a purchase of almost $1 million in AMN shares.

From the Desk of Alfonso Depablos @Alfcharts

When assessing the overall market, we are always asking a lot of the same questions. One of the more common ones is, "how are the laggards doing?"

Many times, these will be the culprits of the last bear market. Other times, they are former leaders that have lost their way.

For a healthy and sustainable bull cycle to take place, we eventually need these laggards to participate.

For the 2021 and 2022 bear, speculative growth was the poster child. 

We’re talking about biotech, the ARK funds, the IPO index, online retailers, etc. These groups were absolutely decimated. 

Not only did they experience some of the worst bear market drawdowns, but in 2023, when new leaders emerged, and many areas of the market began to move higher, these laggards continued to struggle.

Fast forward to today, and these groups are still repairing the technical damage from the prior cycle. With that said, the seeds have been planted for some epic bearish-to-bullish trend reversals.

We think these transitions...