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Breakout Multiplier

Selling the Double In SNOW

October 10, 2024

Snowflake Inc $SNOW is absolutely on fire, breaking out of its coil with authority these past two days.

This is exactly the kind of explosive resolution we hoped for when we entered our position. Volatility was tight. Now, it’s expanding in our favor. This one is working perfectly according to plan.

Our 11/15 $130 calls hit a high price of $5.15 today. Depending on what you paid, you might have a double on your hands.
 

Breakout Multiplier

Breakouts Are Better With Shakeouts

October 10, 2024

Tech stocks are taking charge as we kick off the fourth quarter, and I think it’s time to press the gas and prepare for a year-end rally.

When I review our portfolio of open positions I think we have a good mix, and I particularly like how overweight tech we are.

In fact, I think our most promising positions right now are the speculative tech names that we piled into over the past few weeks. I’m talking about Peloton, Robinhood, Snow, and ARKK.

HOOD and SNOW are the only ones working for us so far, but I think this is about to change.

Let’s take a look at the price action in ARKK and discuss why.

 

When we got long this one, it was coiling in a pennant just above some key VWAPs. 

Last week, ARKK appeared to resolve this coil to the downside as it tumbled to new multi-week lows.

But what has happened since is inconsistent with a pattern resolution… or more specifically, a pattern failure.

There has been no follow-through at all. ARKK is still in the same place it was when it broke down last week.

So, maybe this wasn’t...

Breakout Multiplier

We’re Bullish Bicycles

September 26, 2024
This post was originally for paid members only. It has since been unlocked for informational purposes and does not constitute financial advice. 

If you're not a member, sign up here.

Following a nasty drawdown from the all-time highs made back in 2021, Peloton Interactive $PTON is coiling at the upper bounds of a textbook bearish-to-bullish reversal pattern.

An upside resolution from the past month's trading range will confirm a new primary uptrend for this battered growth stock.

Here’s the chart:

 

Peloton is sporting a 20% short interest and 4x days to cover ratio, which means if we get the move we’re looking for, it should be a big one.

What we’re doing here is simple. Let’s walk through it.

The worst stocks, the cycle laggards, the non-participators, the most-heavily shorted names… they are all working out here...