We all learn how to fall – the sooner, the better.
As adults, we forget this is one of the first skills we learn early in life. For better or worse, my one-year-old reminds me daily.
He’s amazing.
Yes, I’m one of those proud, doting fathers. But his coordination and acrobatics keep both of us out of the pediatric ER (and me, the doghouse). He pops right up whenever he hits the ground and keeps chasing his older brother.
Pure gold.
Since my mind is always lost in the charts, his agility and doggedness remind me of gold’s resilience during the past two years.
You often hear us refer to markets correcting through price or time. It’s an important concept that can reveal underlying strength.
The dual-pane chart of copper and gold futures presents both:
Gold corrects through time as copper corrects through price after breaking down earlier this year.
Equity markets around the globe are getting rocked as we close out another rough week.
And then there's China, which is green on the day.
This isn't just a one-day thing. In fact, it's quite the opposite. China has been showing impressive relative strength since bottoming in late October.
Today is just a microcosm of what that leadership has looked like.
It's had our attention for a while already, which is why we're about to discuss the structural outlook for Chinese stocks and outline some long ideas in the strongest names.
Here's the performance of a basket of international equity ETFs since markets bottomed and ripped higher on Oct. 13:
While China didn't bottom until a few weeks later, on Oct. 31, the MSCI China ETF $MCHI has still outperformed other global stock market indexes over this period.
When we look at the performance of Chinese Technology $CQQQ, the leadership is even more pronounced. Most US-listed Chinese stocks fall into the...
An All Star Options community member recently sent me an email asking about the Average True Range (ATR) indicator and whether or not it is helpful in ascertaining if options premiums are elevated or depressed in the underlying instrument.
For a pretty thorough explanation of what ATR is, here’s a blurb I found on macroption.com:
These are the registration details for our Live Mid-month Conference Call for Premium Members of All Star Charts.
Our next Live Call will be held on Tuesday December 20th at 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.
So, if bonds are breaking out to fresh multi-month highs, we should buy bonds, right?
Here’s a quick look at the bond market buy signals triggered earlier in the month:
All three are still in play.
The five, 10-, and 30-year Treasury futures continue to churn above our risk levels. As long as that’s the case, we want to remain long toward our upside objectives...
One of the great things about options trading is the flexibility afforded to traders to combine multiple contracts, of the same or differing expirations, long or short, to express unique ways to participate in whatever thesis we might have about the future direction or opportunity the market is offering.
Depending on the type of trader and person we are, this menu of choices available either incredibly excites us, or it overwhelms us with analysis paralysis.
I usually fall into the first camp, excited about the choices. But I'll admit to sometimes feeling myself unable to make a confident strategy decision.
So when opportunities like today's trade come along, I get pumped. This is because today's trade is my favorite kind of setup. Both for the potential of the move and the simplicity in how we can play it!
Regardless of whether the majority of stocks in the market are going up or down, there seems to always be a group that just wants to keep on falling in price.
They can't help themselves.
Investors just hate them.
And with that hatred, of course, comes opportunity.