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Your Power to Revoke Distress

January 9, 2021

If you are distressed by anything external, the pain is not due to the thing itself, but to your estimate of it; and this you have the power to revoke at any moment.”

There's a lot of noise out there.

It's poison.

The glorified gossip columns and cartoon networks keep proving to be the equivalent of sugar and trans fat packed fast food.

Don't be mentally obese.

Stick to price.

It's better for the portfolio.

It's better for the soul.

It's a Bull Market you know...

I'm not sure if you've noticed, but owning stocks and spending our time looking for stocks to...

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RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (01-04-2021)

January 4, 2021

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Louis Sykes @haumicharts

At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the absolute and relative trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.

After several months of consolidation, the major indexes have set the foundation for another leg upward in line with their primary trends. We've been seeing many of them resolve higher in recent weeks.

We continue to see rotation into economically sensitive and cyclical assets - supporting our view that there is a strong appetite, not aversion, for risk.

And the FICC markets continue to confirm this bullish environment for stocks and risk assets.

Let's jump right into this week's report with our US index table.

The defensive Dow Jones Utilities Average was...

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RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (12-25-2020)

December 29, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Louis Sykes @haumicharts

At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the absolute and relative trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.

The major indexes continue to hold important levels and many large-cap sectors have laid the foundation for upside resolutions and another leg higher in their relative leadership. 

SMIDs and Micro-Caps have had every chance to digest their recent gains, but we're yet to see that play out. Seeing such strong upward momentum from these stocks speaks to the healthy risk appetite we continue to point out.

FICC markets are also assigning stocks with a clean bill of health and supporting/confirming a continuance of their primary uptrends.

Let's jump right into this week's report with our US index table.

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RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (12-18-2020)

December 21, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Louis Sykes @haumicharts

At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the absolute and relative trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.

We continue to pound the table on leadership down the market-cap scale. There's been strong evidence over the past few weeks/months suggesting this is a structural trend reversal in the large vs small-cap ratio.

Many key indexes - both large and small, sit at crucial inflection points. Many of the small and mid-cap indexes are also extended and sporting extreme momentum readings, making for a logical level for sellers to step in.

It would be a healthy development for SMIDs to take a breather here and pass the baton back to large-caps for a bit.

The...

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RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (12-11-2020)

December 15, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Louis Sykes @haumicharts

At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the absolute and relative trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.

In last week's report, we discussed the continued rotation into SMIDS, international markets, and risk assets. Our conclusion is and continues to be that the market remains in a very healthy state of order.

FICC markets are also confirming the move higher in equities.

From a short-term perspective, SMIDS digesting their recent gains would be a healthy development.

While we have yet to see that play out, our long-term outlook continues to favor Growth-oriented stocks down the market-cap scale as a way to express our bullish thesis.

Without further...

Currencies at Crucial Resistances

December 15, 2020

Assets around the globe have been on the move since March, but the Rupee has remained steady.

Today let's take a look at the currency pairs we track and see if those charts suggest they'll be an actionable setup anytime soon.

4 Signs of a Market Correction

December 11, 2020

During bull markets I always get asked about when it's going to stop. I don't get asked about stock market bubbles and unsustainable valuations during bear markets, that's for sure. Those environments come with other kinds of funny questions.

This morning I woke up to one of my college buddies telling me that tech valuations are too high and that this has to be a bubble.

Journalists ask me every day how this can possibly continue. "Too high", they say. "Too fast", they tell me. "Fed Printing", they claim. "It's only 5 stocks!!!"... I can't.

Anyway, maybe this is the top. Maybe we are about to crash. Maybe valuations are too high....

But there's no evidence at all that this is the top. New All-time highs are not characteristic of downtrends. They are things we see regularly in uptrends. In fact, new highs are perfectly normal, and should even be expected in this type of environment.

The opinions of my college friends don't matter. The opinion of the bond market? Yes, that matters. Currencies? Yup....

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RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (12-04-2020)

December 7, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Louis Sykes @haumicharts

At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.

In last week's report, we outlined how the market was in an incredibly healthy state of order. We've been seeing rotation into SMIDS and Micro-Caps, strong breadth, and a sustained bid for Growth, particularly down the market-cap scale.

This week, we're harping on a similar theme.

The weight of the evidence, particularly from an intermediate and long-term time horizon, looks excellent.

But from a more short-term and tactical perspective, it would be healthy for many indexes down the market-cap scale to digest their gains. Many sector indexes and ratios are...

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RPP Report: Review. Preview. Profit. (11-27-2020)

November 30, 2020

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Louis Sykes @haumicharts

At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the relative strength trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.

Last week, we outlined how the market is in a very healthy state of order.

Nothing has changed from that message. We continue to see strong demand for risk assets and healthy rotation down the market-cap scale.

Additionally, market internals and breadth continue to improve beneath the surface, supporting the recent leg higher for stocks, both domestically and abroad.

Many Growth-oriented groups that have underperformed recently closed at fresh highs this past week, suggesting these are areas we want to continue to lean on to express our bullish thesis.

Let's jump right into the report starting at the US index table.

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