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Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 5/15/25

May 15, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in XLV.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. Closed XME at profit target.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

Hot Corner Insider

Madison Avenue Partners Reports a 6.4% $KROS Stake

May 15, 2025

Every day, we sift through the filings to spot where the real conviction lies — cutting through the noise to highlight the most meaningful insider moves.

Here's what stood out today:

📌 Keros Therapeutics  $KROS – Madison Avenue Partners filed an original 13G reporting an initial stake of  6.40%, jumping straight onto the cap table of this rare‑disease biotech.

📌 Tyra Biosciences  $TYRA – Commodore Capital unveiled a new 5.20% stake in the precision‑oncology up‑and‑comer, another fresh biotech bet.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from May 14, 2025:

 

Click the table to enlarge it.

📌 Rep. Kelly Morrison’s Tech Dips – Rep. Morrison bought $15,000 to $50,000 slices of Broadcom  $AVGO and Meta  $META, adding more Capitol Hill cash to semis...

This One’s Got the Juice 🚀

May 15, 2025

There weren’t any earnings reactions in the S&P 500 yesterday…

But let’s talk about something way more interesting.

Remember that monster move in NRG Energy $NRG the other day?

It was the stock's best earnings reaction ever, and it came from one of the largest “AI Utility” plays on the board.

But if NRG has the size...

Oklo $OKLO has the juice.

This stock recently surged over 1,000% in just a few months, and now it’s setting up for another rally.

Yesterday, the company reported a loss of $0.07 per share and zero revenue… and still had its best earnings reaction ever.

Why? Because the market doesn’t care about today.

It’s looking ahead to the moment this "AI Utility" company is fully online and helping power the AI Revolution.

Here's the OKLO setup 👇 

If OKLO is above the VWAP anchored to its all-time high (currently ~31.25), the breakout is alive and well.

Thank you for reading.

- The Beat Report Team 

PS: Jeff Macke...

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Failed Top in the Dow/Gold Ratio

May 14, 2025

It’s been an incredible week in New Orleans with the whole crew and some of our closest friends.

There’s nothing like getting together in person — sharing ideas, and looking at the market from every angle.

JC opened with his “State of the Markets,” highlighting the hottest ETFs.

Strazza broke down his Breakout Multiplier strategy, and Sean followed with some live trades.

Riley covered robotaxis and flying cars, Louis talked crypto, and Rick closed with speculative tech.

...
ETF Power Rankings Archives

🔎 The Pattern That's Defined the Bull Market

May 14, 2025
📊 Daily ETF Overview

Failed breakdowns are everywhere.

It’s been a recurring theme throughout this entire multi-year bull market—just when the bears appear to gain the upper hand, they drop the ball. Hard.

And every time they do, it’s our job as investors to strike—ruthlessly. That means getting long and leaning into strength while sentiment is still shaken.

Right now, money is flowing back into risk assets across the board. It’s starting to look like another textbook rinse-and-repeat of the many failed breakdowns we’ve seen in recent years.

Financials ($XLF) couldn’t hold their breakdown. Now they’re squeezing higher.

Communications ($XLC) tells the same story—back above support, and the path of least resistance is up, as long as we stay above that key level.

And perhaps the most important chart on our radar: Technology ($XLK) has also failed to break down relative to the broader market. That’s not just noise—it could be the early signal of tech reasserting itself as the leading sector.

We’ve seen this movie before. Failed breakdowns often lead to powerful upside moves.

The message here is simple: if the...

2 to 100 Club,
All Star Charts Premium

2 to 100 Club (05-14-2025)

May 14, 2025

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...

All Star Options

[Options Premium] What's a Quantum?

May 14, 2025

Going to keep this post short today. I'm writing live from the Portfolio Accelerator event in New Orleans. Our friend Riley Rosebee is presenting as I'm typing and he is talking about stocks in companies The Jetson's would invest in.

One he brought up caught my attention because the chart looks ripe for a big pop.

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 5/14/25

May 14, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new trades today.
  2. Adjustment to XOP position.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

Hot Corner Insider

Director Garden Reports a $65.6 Million $MIDD Buy

May 14, 2025

Every day, we sift through the filings to spot where the real conviction lies — cutting through the noise to highlight the most meaningful insider moves.

Here's what stood out today:

📌 Middleby $MIDD – Director Edward P. Garden fired a mammoth $65.6 million round into the commercial‑kitchen giant – easily one of 2025’s biggest insider buys.

📌 Sunrun $RUN – Director Edward H. Fenster snagged $543,000 just after the solar installer ripped more than 100 % off the lows, betting the squeeze still has juice.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from May 13, 2025:

 

Click the table to enlarge it.

📌 TMC the Metals Company $TMC – First Manhattan hiked its stake to 6.50 % from 5.78 %, as the deep‑sea‑miner finishes carving a...

This Retail Giant Just Had Its Worst Earnings Reaction Since 2009 🩸

May 14, 2025

Simon Property Group $SPG just turned in mixed results, and the market wasn’t having it.

Shares dropped 6.2% following the release, marking the stock’s worst earnings reaction since 2009.

In a market that’s punishing anything less than perfection, this wasn’t the quarter to come up short. 

Fundamentals weren’t terrible, but they weren’t great either. 

Net operating income growth slowed dramatically, occupancy rates stagnated, and guidance was uninspiring. 

That’s all it took...

This is a stock that’s been working hard to reclaim its long-term highs. 

But when your biggest earnings reaction in over a decade is to the downside, that’s not a sign of confidence. 

It’s a sign investors are nervous and no longer willing to give the benefit of the doubt.

Simon’s still a heavyweight in the REIT space. But after this report, it’s clear that the margin for error is gone.

So what else did we learn from yesterday's earnings reactions? Let's dive into the details.

Here are the latest earnings reports from the S&P 500 👇 

*Click the image to enlarge it

Davita $DVA...

All Star Charts Gold Rush,
All Star Charts Premium

Currency Report: Down with The Dollar

The dollar is rebounding, but don’t expect it to last

The US Dollar Index $DXY continues to sit near the top of our macro checklist. 

It’s been one of the more important tells of the cycle, not just for currencies—but for equities, commodities, and global risk assets.

Traditionally, the dollar moves opposite to US stocks. But as technicians, we know better than to marry intermarket correlations. These relationships ebb and flow, strengthen, weaken, invert, and sometimes go completely quiet. That’s normal.

Late last year, a big shift took place as stocks began to move with the dollar. It's not typical, but it’s not without precedent either. 

 ...
All Star Charts Gold Rush,
All Star Charts Premium

[Gold Rush Video] We're in New Orleans With The Smartest Minds in Finance ✈️

May 13, 2025

We're in New Orleans this week, surrounded by some of the smartest minds in finance at our Portfolio Accelerator event. 

The food here is incredible.

The music is loud.

And the markets are moving fast.

We put together a special video to walk you through what we’re seeing right now:

We discussed:

  • The connection between Gold, Copper, and Crude Oil.
  • Why energy stocks are struggling, and where the strength still is.
  • Precious metals are leading in 2025.
  • And our top setup in the mining space right now.
Check out the full breakdown here 👇
Breakout Multiplier,
The Strazza Letter

A 12X in TWO days.

May 13, 2025

Some of the most speculative names out there have been lighting up our squeeze scan — and First Solar $FSLR was front and center.

We said solar stocks were catching fire… and FSLR was the cleanest setup in the group.

I leaned into the momentum and bought the $FSLR 6/6 $165 calls for around $2.50.

Two trading days later, and they have exploded to nearly $32.

That’s a +1131% return.

A clean 12X in just TWO days.

That’s the power of a failed move catching fire—with momentum at your back.

Here you can see FLSR failing to complete a massive top with a textbook scoop n' score setup.

 

From failed moves come fast moves.

And this one came as fast as any.

Steve

ETF Power Rankings Archives

🔎 Watch the Mid Caps

May 13, 2025
📊 Daily ETF Overview

 

Large caps have been steadily outperforming in U.S. markets, even as growth stocks led the most recent leg lower.

But in a market like this, flexibility is everything. We need to stay nimble and open-minded—ready to give a variety of investment themes the benefit of the doubt.

Europe is a prime example. After over a decade of going nowhere, it’s finally giving the U.S. a serious challenge.

Back in the U.S., one area that's quietly caught our attention is mid caps—the often overlooked middle child of the size spectrum.

Relative to large caps ($SPY), mid caps ($MDY) are digging in at a critical support level. It’s a key battleground.

 

 

If this level holds, we could see renewed strength in the mid-cap space. But if it breaks? It may set the stage for a deeper rotation down the cap scale—into small caps—as markets look to find their footing after the recent correction.

As Europe is proving right now, leadership is up for grabs. The winners of the next leg higher may not look like the winners of the last.

Now is the time to watch closely.\

The market is...

The Daily Number

Breadth Thrust Just Triggered – Time to Lean In?🔥

May 13, 2025

Today's number is... 58%

58% of S&P 500 stocks made 20-day new highs yesterday. 

Here’s the chart:

  

Let's break down what the chart shows:

  • The blue line in the top panel is the S&P 500 index price.
  • The black line in the bottom panel shows the percentage of S&P 500 stocks at 20-day highs.
  • The red line in the bottom panel is the trigger for a breadth thrust.
  • The gray shading highlights when in a breadth thrust regime.

The Takeaway: Market participation is heating up!

Yesterday, my favorite breadth thrust officially fired.

The breadth thrust I am talking about is when 55% or more of the S&P 500 stocks reach a 20-day new high.

Yesterday, we saw 58% of S&P 500 stocks making 20-day new highs, 

This means we have entered a breadth thrust regime that lasts one year.

It’s not an all-clear signal or a guarantee that the market will go up, but this breadth thrust regime points to healthy market leadership conditions and...

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 5/13/25

May 13, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new trades today.
  2. Adjustment to XLI position.
  3. Closed  USO and XLP at profit targets.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!