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Currency Report: Counting Shekels

May 29, 2025

During our time in New Orleans at the Portfolio Accelerator event, I brought the Israeli Shekel to the table—and it sparked a really interesting discussion.

We were diving into global risk indicators, and I was showing how the Shekel is an excellent tell for speculative growth stocks and the “ARKKy” trade. 

That’s because Israel’s economy isn’t built on commodities or manufacturing like so many others—it’s built on software, cybersecurity, and innovation.

It’s one of the top technology countries overseas.

So when the Shekel starts breaking out, it’s not just a local FX story—it’s the market telling us there is demand for some of the most risk-on corners of the stock market.

And right now? The Shekel is on the verge of a major breakout. It’s literally happening as I write this.

 

This isn’t some quirky currency coincidence. Currencies are always whispering—sometimes shouting—about...

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 5/29/25

May 29, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in Homebuilders.
  2. No adjustments since the last report.
  3. Closed XLB at Profit Target.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

All Star Charts Premium

Young Aristocrats (May 2025)

May 29, 2025

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Dividend Aristocrats are easily some of the most desirable investments on Wall Street. These are the names that have increased dividends for at least 25 years, providing steadily increasing income to long-term-minded shareholders.

As you can imagine, the companies making up this prestigious list are some of the most recognizable brands in the world. Coca-Cola, Walmart, and Johnson & Johnson are just a few of the household names making the cut.

Here at All Star Charts, we like to stay ahead of the curve. That's why we're turning our attention to the future aristocrats. In an effort to seek out the next generation of the cream-of-the-crop dividend plays, we're curating a list of stocks that have raised their payouts every year for five to nine years.

We call them the Young Aristocrats, and the idea is that these are "stocks that pay you to make money." Imagine if years of consistent dividend growth and high momentum and relative strength had a baby, leaving you with the best of the emerging dividend giants that are outperforming the averages.

By...

Earnings Lift-Off: This Defense Stock Just Cleared the Runway ✈️

May 29, 2025

There weren’t any S&P 500 earnings reactions yesterday…

But one earnings reaction really stood out to us.

While most of the market’s attention is fixated on tech and AI, Heico Corp $HEI has quietly emerged as one of the strongest earnings performers in the Aerospace and Defense space.

This company isn’t your typical defense contractor. 

They specialize in manufacturing and servicing critical aerospace components, including FAA-approved replacement parts and high-reliability electronic systems used in military, commercial, and space applications.

It’s a high-margin, high-moat business - and the market is noticing.

The fundamental backdrop for Aerospace & Defense has rarely looked this strong.

Geopolitical tensions are rising. 

Global defense budgets are expanding. 

And commercial air traffic continues to rebound post-COVID.

The iShares U.S. Aerospace & Defense ETF $ITA is flying higher 🚀 

The iShares Aerospace & Defense ETF includes GE Aerospace $GE, RTX $RTX, Boeing $BA, and Heico $HEI.

Price recently broke out to new all-time highs after a multi-month...

Hot Corner Insider

Director Meister Reports a $4.7 Million $VSTS Purchase

May 29, 2025

Every day, we sift through the filings to spot where the real conviction lies – cutting through the noise to highlight the most meaningful insider moves.

Here's what stood out today:

📌 Vestis Corp $VSTS – Director Keith Meister stepped in with a monster $4.7 million purchase with VSTS trading at all-time lows. This purchase stands out for its size in the sub-$1 billion uniform rental company.

📌 Murphy USA $MUSA – Director David Haley scooped nearly half a million dollars worth of MUSA stock. This comes as the stock carves a year-long head-and-shoulders pattern.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from May 28, 2025:

 

Click the table to enlarge it.

📌 Sweetgreen $SG – Director Clifford Burrows  stepped in with a quarter  million dollar purchase in the hip fast food chain. This purchase comes as the...

The Daily Number

Third Year Itch: Bull Market Just Chillin🐂

May 29, 2025

Today's number is... 3

Let's check in on how the third year of this bull market is progressing.

Here’s the chart:

 

Let's break down what the chart shows:

  • The light blue line represents the performance of an average first year during a bull market for the S&P 500. The dark blue line illustrates the performance of the first year of the current bull market for the S&P 500.
  • The light gray line indicates the performance of an average second year within a bull market for the S&P 500, while the dark gray line shows the performance of the second year of the current bull market.
  • The light red line depicts the performance of an average third year during a bull market for the S&P 500, and the dark red line represents the performance of the third year of the current bull market for the S&P 500.

The Takeaway: By my definition, a bull market starts with a 20% rally after a 20% drop. Based on that, we’re still in a bull market that began in late 2022.

...
ETF Power Rankings Archives

🔎 Building the Base

May 28, 2025
📊 Daily ETF Overview

 

We’re seeing healthy sector rotation play out, with risk-on groups like Communications, Technology, Industrials, Financials, and Discretionary all flashing green.

This builds on what we’ve been highlighting in these notes for a while now.

The bears had their shot — and they blew it. Failed breakdowns are rippling through the market, and what we’re seeing now is the aftermath: buyers stepping in, and the tape responding.

With markets back on solid footing, the question becomes: is this just the beginning of something bigger, or are we in for more sideways chop?

Zooming out, the Communications sector — a clear leader — might offer some insight.

 

 

Since the bear market lows, $XLC has delivered an exceptional run with barely any volatility. But that changed on Liberation Day — marking the first real correction this group has seen throughout the entire bull phase.

Looking at the chart, it wouldn’t be surprising to see some sideways movement here — maybe a base-building phase before the next leg higher.

In trading, managing risk is non-negotiable — but equally...

Alfonso’s Daily Note

Toyota is a Tech Investor

May 28, 2025

I’ve been tracking insider transactions for the past three years.

I’ve learned a ton along the way.

From Form 4s and 13Ds/Gs to political filings—hedge funds, the C-suite, you name it. 

There are a million reasons insiders sell: paying for a wedding, getting divorced, buying a house, taking a vacation. But there’s only one reason they buy. And that’s because they think the stock’s going up.

I’ve seen it all—from Nancy Pelosi riding the Mag 7 wave, to CEOs and CFOs stepping in during selloffs, and top hedge funds putting serious skin in the game. We cover all these different insiders. 

Sometimes there’s something there. Sometimes there’s not. 

This morning, we got a big one. I woke up to a monster Form 4 from Toyota Motor showing a $250 million investment in Joby Aviation $JOBY.

Joby’s building electric aircraft for urban air mobility—think of them like flying taxis.

And this is...

Macke's Retail Roundup,
Macke's Retail Roundup+

Build-a-Bear Delivers

May 28, 2025

Fun facts most people don't know about Build-a-Bear Workshop:

  • It still exists and is publicly traded under the ticker $BBW
  • Shares are up nearly 50x since the COVID lows
  • The stock went public in October 2004, hit $35 two months later and didn't make a new high for another 19yrs, nearly twice the expected lifespan of a Black Bear in the wild.
  • (New Item): Build-a-Bear just reported its best first quarter ever.
 

I break down the quarter and give the company its full grade for members in the LINK

2 to 100 Club,
All Star Charts Premium

2 to 100 Club (05-28-2025)

May 28, 2025

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...

All Star Options

[Options Premium] Banking Coin on This Dip

May 28, 2025

With Bitcoin holding high in the 107-108K neighborhood, above last year's resistance, it feels like the stage is being set for another crypto bull. Not just for bitcoin, but for many of the so-called "alt-coins" as well. And today's trade is in the company that is best positioned to take advantage of a resurgence of alt-coin activity. 

And following a recent gap move higher, the consolidation over the past couple weeks and today's morning dip provide a great entry point.

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 5/28/25

May 28, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in TLT.
  2. No adjustments since the last report.
  3. No exits since the last report.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

Macke's Retail Roundup,
Macke's Retail Roundup+

Abercrombie Aces It

May 28, 2025

Abercrombie didn't have to be perfect. With the stock down 50% since January, even after a HUGE bounce, Abercrombie & Fitch just had to be decent. Anything better than about a 20% guidance cut would have been acceptable. Word was that foot traffic at Abercrombie was lousy. That left ne'er do well Hollister to bail out the corporate ship while $ANF tried to find a bottom. Hollister has had a nice few quarters but that wasn't going to be enough to offset the end of Abercrombie's name-brand and the huge 5 year heater of double-digit comps and fat margins.

Turns out, Hollister had plenty. The tariffs weren't so bad. Business was pretty much fine. Wall Street rejoiced... 

Macke's Retail Roundup,
Macke's Retail Roundup+

Abercrombie Aces It

May 28, 2025

Abercrombie didn't have to be perfect. With shares sitting 50% lower since January sentiment around $ANF was somewhere between "skeptical" and "afraid to look". Word was that traffic was bad at Abecrombie's name-brand stores, leaving Hollister, the surly, less-good-looking younger sibling division of $ANF. Hollister had been good lately but not great. This was supposed to have been a tough quarter for "not great".

As it turned out, Hollister was pretty damn great and the warning was less-than-feared. The stock market rejoiced: