Every day, we sift through the filings to spot where the real conviction lies — cutting through the noise to highlight the most meaningful insider moves.
Here's what stood out today:
📌 Keros Therapeutics $KROS – Madison Avenue Partners filed an original 13G reporting an initial stake of 6.40%, jumping straight onto the cap table of this rare‑disease biotech.
📌 Tyra Biosciences $TYRA – Commodore Capital unveiled a new 5.20% stake in the precision‑oncology up‑and‑comer, another fresh biotech bet.
Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from May 14, 2025:
Click the table to enlarge it.
📌 Rep. Kelly Morrison’s Tech Dips – Rep. Morrison bought $15,000 to $50,000 slices of Broadcom $AVGO and Meta $META, adding more Capitol Hill cash to semis...
It’s been a recurring theme throughout this entire multi-year bull market—just when the bears appear to gain the upper hand, they drop the ball. Hard.
And every time they do, it’s our job as investors to strike—ruthlessly. That means getting long and leaning into strength while sentiment is still shaken.
Right now, money is flowing back into risk assets across the board. It’s starting to look like another textbook rinse-and-repeat of the many failed breakdowns we’ve seen in recent years.
Financials ($XLF) couldn’t hold their breakdown. Now they’re squeezing higher.
Communications ($XLC) tells the same story—back above support, and the path of least resistance is up, as long as we stay above that key level.
And perhaps the most important chart on our radar: Technology ($XLK) has also failed to break down relative to the broader market. That’s not just noise—it could be the early signal of tech reasserting itself as the leading sector.
We’ve seen this movie before. Failed breakdowns often lead to powerful upside moves.
In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).
Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.
But the scan doesn't just end there.
We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.
Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.
When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...
Going to keep this post short today. I'm writing live from the Portfolio Accelerator event in New Orleans. Our friend Riley Rosebee is presenting as I'm typing and he is talking about stocks in companies The Jetson's would invest in.
One he brought up caught my attention because the chart looks ripe for a big pop.
Every day, we sift through the filings to spot where the real conviction lies — cutting through the noise to highlight the most meaningful insider moves.
Here's what stood out today:
📌 Middleby $MIDD – Director Edward P. Garden fired a mammoth $65.6 million round into the commercial‑kitchen giant – easily one of 2025’s biggest insider buys.
📌 Sunrun $RUN – Director Edward H. Fenster snagged $543,000 just after the solar installer ripped more than 100 % off the lows, betting the squeeze still has juice.
Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from May 13, 2025:
Click the table to enlarge it.
📌 TMC the Metals Company $TMC – First Manhattan hiked its stake to 6.50 % from 5.78 %, as the deep‑sea‑miner finishes carving a...
The dollar is rebounding, but don’t expect it to last
The US Dollar Index $DXY continues to sit near the top of our macro checklist.
It’s been one of the more important tells of the cycle, not just for currencies—but for equities, commodities, and global risk assets.
Traditionally, the dollar moves opposite to US stocks. But as technicians, we know better than to marry intermarket correlations. These relationships ebb and flow, strengthen, weaken, invert, and sometimes go completely quiet. That’s normal.
Late last year, a big shift took place as stocks began to move with the dollar. It's not typical, but it’s not without precedent either.
Large caps have been steadily outperforming in U.S. markets, even as growth stocks led the most recent leg lower.
But in a market like this, flexibility is everything. We need to stay nimble and open-minded—ready to give a variety of investment themes the benefit of the doubt.
Europe is a prime example. After over a decade of going nowhere, it’s finally giving the U.S. a serious challenge.
Back in the U.S., one area that's quietly caught our attention is mid caps—the often overlooked middle child of the size spectrum.
Relative to large caps ($SPY), mid caps ($MDY) are digging in at a critical support level. It’s a key battleground.
If this level holds, we could see renewed strength in the mid-cap space. But if it breaks? It may set the stage for a deeper rotation down the cap scale—into small caps—as markets look to find their footing after the recent correction.
As Europe is proving right now, leadership is up for grabs. The winners of the next leg higher may not look like the winners of the last.
58% of S&P 500 stocks made 20-day new highs yesterday.
Here’s the chart:
Let's break down what the chart shows:
The blue line in the top panel is the S&P 500 index price.
The black line in the bottom panel shows the percentage of S&P 500 stocks at 20-day highs.
The red line in the bottom panel is the trigger for a breadth thrust.
The gray shading highlights when in a breadth thrust regime.
The Takeaway: Market participation is heating up!
Yesterday, my favorite breadth thrust officially fired.
The breadth thrust I am talking about is when 55% or more of the S&P 500 stocks reach a 20-day new high.
Yesterday, we saw 58% of S&P 500 stocks making 20-day new highs,
This means we have entered a breadth thrust regime that lasts one year.
It’s not an all-clear signal or a guarantee that the market will go up, but this breadth thrust regime points to healthy market leadership conditions and...