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Yen Crashing: What You Need To Know

April 29, 2024

The Japanese Yen hit levels last night not seen in over 30 years.

There was historic volatility this morning and some key reversals that may or may not hold over the short-term.

But what you need to know is that the Yen is crashing. It's been losing value relative to "things".

These "things" include all kinds of assets including stocks, commodities and bitcoin, who have all been hitting new highs when priced in Japanese Yen.

Look at Bitcoin hitting new all-time highs in Yen terms:

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[Premium] Details For May 2024 Monthly Strategy Session

April 29, 2024

These are the registration details for our Live Monthly Candlestick Strategy Session for Premium Members of All Star Charts.

This month’s Video Conference Call will be held on Wednesday May 1st @ 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.

Here are the details for Wednesday evening:

All Star Charts Crypto

🔍 Giving the Tape Time to Setup

April 27, 2024

Today's a shorter note.

The big takeaway is that I'm not seeing a big reason to do anything from a trading standpoint.

I want to see an expansion in new highs as well as more sustained dollar weakness to have more conviction in adding to my crypto exposure. For now, I think remaining patient and allowing the market setup is the most prudent course of action in the short term.

US Interest Rates: New 6-month High

April 27, 2024

Imagine being one of these people who are lying to US citizens about falling interest rates?

Or worse, imagine being one of the poor victims who actually believed them?

Ouch.

The people lying to you include journalists across old media, a few economists that are somehow still employed, and even the President of the United States of America.

Or maybe the Biden didn't actually lie to you. It could have been the intern, who tells him what to say, that is the one behind the false information.

Either way, none of these people are here to help you. They're only here to help themselves. That's how this works.

So as investors, it's important for us to actually...

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Young Aristocrats (April 2024)

April 27, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Dividend Aristocrats are easily some of the most desirable investments on Wall Street. These are the names that have increased dividends for at least 25 years, providing steadily increasing income to long-term-minded shareholders.

As you can imagine, the companies making up this prestigious list are some of the most recognizable brands in the world. Coca-Cola, Walmart, and Johnson & Johnson are just a few of the household names making the cut.

Here at All Star Charts, we like to stay ahead of the curve. That's why we're turning our attention to the future aristocrats. In an effort to seek out the next generation of the cream-of-the-crop dividend plays, we're curating a list of stocks that have raised their payouts every year for five to nine years.

We call them the Young Aristocrats, and the idea is that these are "stocks that pay you to make money." Imagine if years of consistent dividend growth and high momentum and relative strength had a baby, leaving you with the best of the emerging dividend giants that are outperforming the averages.

By adding our technical analysis to the mix,...

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Keep Your Eyes on Natural Gas

April 26, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Natural gas futures are due for a pop.

It might sound silly as the widow-maker is falling back toward its mid-1990s lows.

But this is a logical level to witness a sustained rally. Especially when you consider previous cycles and where Natural Gas is trading relative to crude

Earlier this week, JC mentioned the crude oil vs. natural gas ratio during an internal strategy session.

He tracked this relationship when he day-traded natty gas, using it as a mean reversion indicator.

Fast-forward to today, and the crude-to-natural-gas ratio is retreating from its highest level in more than a decade.

The last time the ratio hit these levels, natural gas futures ripped 225% in less than two years. 

That’s what natty gas does! It also peaks and troughs – almost like clockwork – within a four-year cycle:

...

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International Hall of Famers (04-26-2024)

April 26, 2024

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

We've also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It's got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Let's dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.

Here's this week's list:

...

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Keep Your Eyes on Natural Gas

April 26, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Natural gas futures are due for a pop.

It might sound silly as the widow-maker is falling back toward its mid-1990s lows.

But this is a logical level to witness a sustained rally. Especially when you consider previous cycles and where Natural Gas is trading relative to crude…

Earlier this week, JC mentioned the crude oil vs. natural gas ratio during an internal strategy session.

He tracked this relationship when he day-traded natty gas, using it as a mean reversion indicator.

 

Fast-forward to today, and the crude-to-natural-gas ratio is retreating from its highest level in more than a decade.

The last time the ratio hit these levels, natural gas futures ripped 225% in less than two years. 

That’s what natty gas does! It also peaks and troughs – almost like clockwork – within a four-year cycle:

 

Notice the cyclical lows in 2012, 2016, and 2020 corresponding with the cycle highs in 2014, 2018, and 2022.

Interestingly, a seasonal component also emerges at the cycle lows as natural gas enters its most bullish three-month period (August - October). All...

Director Bailey Reports a Million-Dollar BHVN Buy

April 26, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider transaction on today’s list is a Form 4 filing by Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Company Ltd $BHVN director Gregory Bailey.

Bailey bought 25,503 BHVN shares, equivalent to $999,169.

The Defensive Rotation Is Here

April 26, 2024

You're finally seeing some of that defensive rotation with Utilities representing the only sector that is hitting new 6-month highs this week.

Here is a chart of Utilities relative to the S&P500, overlaid with Staples relative to S&Ps as well.

As you can see, both of these lines had been falling since 2022, because it's been a bull market.

But now that stocks have been correcting this year, you're seeing that outperformance coming from the most defensive sectors:

All Star Charts Crypto

Weekly Emerging Cryptocurrencies for 4/26/2024

April 26, 2024

 We've built a proprietary scan that notifies us whenever a cryptocurrency exceeds a certain market-cap threshold for the first time. When there's an up and coming cryptocurrency, we're the first one to know about it.

This scan flags breakthrough cryptocurrencies, allowing us to capitalize on lucrative opportunities before they become mainstream.

All Star Charts Crypto

Weekly Crypto Video for 4/26/2024

April 26, 2024

Here's this week's crypto roundup. It's an opportunity for us to take a step back, set aside the distractions, and delve into the key charts shaping the crypto complex.

This week, I walked through Bitcoin's AVWAPs, the crypto new highs list, moving average analysis, Bitcoin derivatives, and the US dollar.

All Star Charts Crypto

Crypto Power Rankings for 4/26/2024

April 25, 2024

Every week, we create a Power Rankings table that lists the market-cap rank of the top 20 cryptocurrencies. This allows us to see the winners and losers as they climb the market-cap ladder.

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Inflation Expectations Edge Higher

April 25, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Goldielocks’s soft landing is proving sticky.

Commodities are outperforming stocks and bonds. Interest rates are rising worldwide, and investors are anticipating increased inflationary pressures—not multiple rate cuts—this year.

In fact, inflation expectations are reaching levels not seen since June 2022…

Check out the Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities ETF $TIP vs. the nominal US Treasury Bond ETF $IEF ratio zoomed out twenty years:

Monster base. But I don’t think of this ratio in those terms. Instead, I use it to gauge investors’ desire for inflation protection. 

The perceived need to take action against inflation is heading back toward the upper bounds of a 15-year range, marked by the 2022 high and the end of the prior commodity supercycle in 2011.

Investors bracing for higher inflation makes sense as global yields rise and commodities climb.

Yet over the trailing three...

Hot Corner Insider

Director Baily Reports a Million-Dollar BHVN Buy

April 25, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider transaction on today’s list is a Form 4 filing by Biohaven Pharmaceutical Holding Company Ltd $BHVN director Gregory Bailey.

Bailey bought 25,503 BHVN shares, equivalent to $999,169.