These are the registration details for our Live Monthly Candlestick Strategy Session for Premium Members of All Star Charts.
This month’s Video Conference Call will be held on Tuesday February 1st @ 6PM ET. As always, if you cannot make the call live, the video and slides will be archived and published here along with every other live call since 2015.
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @Ianculley
If you’re searching for strength, look no further than commodities!
With risk assets coming under increasing pressure, the strength from commodities and commodity-related stocks stands out that much more. Except for rates, it’s the only thing the bulls have left.
When we look beneath the surface, so far, the story centers around energy – whether we’re talking about crude oil printing fresh seven-year highs or Chevron Corp. $CVX breaking out of a multi-year base to new all-time highs.
Energy is -- and has been -- re-asserting itself as the next dominant leadership group.
But unlike the stock market -- where energy is the only group working -- we’re seeing broad participation within the commodities market.
In fact, there are still plenty of pockets of strength we want to be buying.
Today, we’re going to highlight one of those areas by outlining a trade setup in soybean oil.
Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.
These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.
It has all the big names and more.
It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that which you can check out here.
The Hall of Famers is simple.
We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.
From the desk of Steven Strazza @Sstrazza and Ian Culley @IanCulley
The Federal Reserve is doing its best to prepare the market for what is expected to be a year of rate hikes. But investors aren’t exactly enthusiastic about this outlook, as stocks came under further pressure following Wednesday’s Federal Open Market Committee announcement.
The bond market is also offering some valuable information again. And considering the recent volatility, it’s more important than ever to listen closely.
When we think about bonds, credit spreads are always top of mind, as they’re a great barometer of market health. When there's stress on risk assets, it shows up in credit spreads.
When analyzing credit spreads, all we’re doing is measuring the difference in yield between a Treasury (the safest bet) and a corporate bond (riskier asset) of the same maturity. If these spreads begin to widen, it’s usually problematic for equities.
Editor's Note: Before we dive into the substance of today's note, I want to be sure you're all aware that our Crypto Friday Live Strategy Session will get started tomorrow, January 28, at 3:00 p.m. ET.
We talk about it all the time -- and for good reason. If these last few years have reinforced anything, it's the power and efficacy of incorporating relative strength into our approach.
You can never outperform if you don't hold assets that are doing exactly that, outperforming.
Given that trends are more likely to continue than reverse, if a group of assets have outperformed their alternatives, it's more likely than not they'll continue to do so.
One of the primary components of our work as technical analysts here at All Star Charts is finding favorable opportunities through relative strength: stocks, commodities, sectors, and, more recently, in cryptocurrencies.
When investing in the stock market, we always want to approach it as a market of stocks.
Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks showing leadership and trending higher.
We may have to look harder to identify them depending on current market conditions… but there are always stocks that are going up.
The same can be said for weak stocks. Regardless of the environment, there are always stocks that are going down, too.
We already have multiple scans focusing on stocks making all-time highs, such as Hall of Famers, Minor Leaguers, and the 2 to 100 Club. We filter these universes for stocks that are exhibiting the best momentum and relative strength characteristics.
Clearly, we spend a lot of time identifying and writing about leading stocks every week, via multiple reports. Now, we’re also highlighting lagging stocks on a recurring basis.
One of the most underappreciated elements about Bitcoin is the transparency of transactions. This enables us to gain deep insights into the behavior of investors and users of the network.
The growing industry of on-chain analysis looks to address the concerns of those who wish to categorize, cluster, and ultimately analyze entity behavior to find increasingly reliable and actionable signals.
Blockchain mechanisms mean analysts and traders have access to a wide array of data that isn't possible to replicate in traditional asset classes, like stocks, commodities, and bonds.
One of the key metrics we've found to be of tremendous value is quantifying investor supply and demand through the use of supply shock.
In today's note, we'll outline how we use this data to supplement our traditional price work and technical analysis.
We're continuing the theme of monitoring relative strength in this tricky tape. The next leaders if/when a bull market resumes are revealing themselves now. Are you paying attention?
One of the names that is holding up relatively well recently, and one that also appears in our recent Follow the Flow report is Qualcomm $QCOM.
This week when the broader indexes printed their recent lows, $QCOM tested the low of a the range coming out of its breakaway gap last November and held. This is important.
To some investors, they might look at the market and say, "Hey on Monday the market was up a little, and today is was down a little. NBD".
And they won't be wrong.
In fact, Charlie Dow always preached that closing prices were the most important prices. And that was 130+ years ago.
But for those of us who understand the current circumstances. For those of us who do watch the market internals and intraday action, we wouldn't come to that sort of simple conclusion that easily.
In fact, we'd probably disagree with the, Up a little Monday and Down a little Tuesday idea.