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International Hall of Famers (06-07-2024)

June 7, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.

We've also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut. 

These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.

It's got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.

The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.

We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.

Let's dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.

Here's this week's list:

...

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Copper’s Sharp Drop Shocks the Bulls

June 7, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Copper Springs into Action… Buyers Dig Copper… Copper, F%$# Yeah!

Those are a few titles I spitballed last night. But the markets wouldn’t have it.

This morning, the overall theme of the metals space turned on its head, trashing my bullish bias.

To be clear, I still have a favorable outlook for base and precious metals over longer time frames…

Yet we’re all forced to navigate the near-term selling pressure. 

Earlier this week, Dr. Copper found support right where we would expect – a key retracement level:

Buyers stepped in and drove prices higher, regaining more than 3% since mid-week. However, sellers are having the last laugh this morning as they take it back and some before lunchtime. 

Copper futures fell 3.50% during the morning session. 

Luckily, today is National Donut Day. So...

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Investors Ice the Bond Market Rally

June 7, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

G7 central banks are cutting rates – first Canada and now the European Union.

Will the Federal Reserve follow suit in the coming months?

Investors seem to think so…

US 30-year T-bond futures have posted positive returns six days in a row – their longest winning streak since April last year.

T-bonds also broke above a key polarity zone, triggering our buy signals from last month:

I’ve made clear my disdain for buying treasuries, so the long bond trade will likely be a winner. After all, the best trades are often the hardest to take.

But price is sliding back below our risk level following the May nonfarm payroll data. And a yearlong downtrend line continues to act as resistance. Until T-bond futures break through resistance, the downtrend remains intact,...

Let's Find The Next $100B Company

June 6, 2024

Years ago my friend Howard Lindzon calls me and says, "JC we need to find the next $100 Billion company".

And of course I respond with, "Hell yea we do!"

"But wait. How do we do that?"

He laughed and told me to get with my team of analysts and figure it out.

So we did.

We reversed engineered what it would take for a company to be able to scale to $100 Billion in market capitalization.

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2 to 100 Club

2 to 100 Club (06-05-2024)

June 6, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

As most of you know, we use various bottom-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach.

It's really been working for us!

One way we're doing this is by identifying the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market...

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Weighing a Potential Dollar Breakdown

June 4, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

The US Dollar Index $DXY is violating its year-to-date trendline.

Is this it? Will the dollar finally follow the breakdowns in crude oil and interest rates?

The forex markets say, “Not so fast…”

Following yesterday’s breakout, the British pound is slipping back into the box as the greenback digs in its heels:

Fading the failed GBP/USD breakout earlier this spring proved rewarding. If you’re feeling spicy, you can take another shot at a mean reversion toward 1.25 – but only if the pound is trading below 1.2750.

On the flip side, I like buying the GBP/USD if it reclaims 1.2775 with a target of 1.3150. This trade will only work if DXY is trending lower. 

The euro is also running into resistance – down 40 pips this morning:

...

Bull Market Two-Year Anniversary

June 4, 2024

Next week marks the 2-year anniversary of this Bull Market for stocks.

As we've mentioned many times, the S&P500 didn't bottom out until October of 2022. But it was already a bull market at that point.

The bottom for the prior bear market was in June of 2022. That's when the majority of stocks bottomed.

By the time the S&P500 hit its final low in October, there weren't many stocks at all left going down. Most of them had already been making higher lows and higher highs.

Coming into this year, ...

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The Minor Leaguers (06-03-2024)

June 3, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Minor Leaguers.

We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

To make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list now, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

And it doesn't have to be a Russell component — it can be any US-listed equity. With participation expanding around the globe, we want all those ADRs in our universe.

The same price and liquidity filters are applied. Then, as always, we sort by proximity to new highs in order to...

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All Star Charts Gold Rush

Gold Rush: Updated Trade Levels

June 3, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

This week, I’m cutting straight to our trade ideas.

I’ve made a table of more than 30 setups, the majority of them trending toward our targets.

And I’ll also update a few trade ideas with new entry levels and additional upside objectives.

Let’s dive in!

[Options] The Other Side of the Coin

June 3, 2024

[Note: We entered this trade on June 4th following the entry trigger. Details below]

On today's Flow Show, Steve Strazza brought the heat.

It appears Bitcoin is about to start another leg higher. It's showing all the signs: A tightening consolidation on the verge of an upside resolution. And with the 100,000 level on the watch list of every professional and amateur market speculator, it's hard to believe that the next bullish breakout does not include a run to and through this highly watched level.

In the meantime, we equities options traders still have limited vehicle choices available to us to participate in this move. We've long used Microstrategy $MSTR as a Bitcoin proxy. But our feeling is that if Bitcoin makes the move everyone is waiting for, we will see the entire crypto space go with it, and that will be great news for a stock like Coinbase $COIN.

Here's where the charts of Bitcoin and $COIN stand now:

There Will Be Winners

June 3, 2024

When you look at Consumer Discretionary stocks as a group, you think "Wow this is the worst sector on the planet".

How can there be any winners coming out of here?

But there are. And there always will be.

First, look at the sector itself relative to the S&P500 going out last month at the lowest levels in over 10 years.