From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to the 2 to 100 Club.

Something we’ve been working on internally this year is using various bottoms-up tools and scans to complement our top-down approach. One way we’re doing this is by identifying stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small, to mid, to large, and ultimately to mega-cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B) they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn’t just end there. We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Nifty FMCG broke above its long-term resistance last week, moving out of a more than two-year consolidation. While the selected-few large caps from the sector have performed well with the rest of the market in the run up so far, we believe that the rest of the sector is on its way to play catch up.

Let’s take a look at the sector and see what the charts have to say.

Nifty FMCG has broken above its resistance and seems poised to perform well going forward. With the 200-DMA sloping upwards and the RSI in the overbought territory, bullish momentum can be seen in this sector.

The Mega-cap names have been digesting their 2020 gains since early September. Go one by one and most of them are down over the past 3+ months. All except the last one at the bottom.

The Tesla bulls will love this one:

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza and Louis Sykes @haumicharts

At the beginning of each week, we publish performance tables for a variety of different asset classes and categories along with commentary on each.

Looking at the past helps put the future into context. In this post, we review the absolute and relative trends at play and preview some of the things we’re watching in order to profit in the weeks and months ahead.

In last week's report, we discussed the continued rotation into SMIDS, international markets, and risk assets. Our conclusion is and continues to be that the market remains in a very healthy state of order.

FICC markets are also confirming the move higher in equities.

From a short-term perspective, SMIDS digesting their recent gains would be a healthy development.

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome to our “Under The Hood” column for the week ending December 11, 2020.

What we do is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names. There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: A list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual options activity, or simply our proprietary lists of trending tickers… there is a lot of overlap.

The bottom line is there are a million ways to skin this cat. Relying on our entire arsenal of data makes us confident that we’re producing the best list each week and gives us more optionality in terms of finding the most favorable trade setups for our clients.

I'm not sure when this happened. When did they start grouping any company that uses a computer into the Technology Sector?

First of all, 80% of the FAANG stocks represent a ZERO weighting in the Technology Sector. ZERO.

Facebook and Google are in the Communications Index, together representing approximately 45% of that sector. Combined, $FB & $GOOD represent ZERO percent of the Technology Sector. Netflix $NFLX accounts for another 4% or so Communications, and again, a ZERO weighting in Tech.

Furthermore, Amazon represents approximately 21% of the Consumer Discretionary Index. When you look at the Technology Sector, you'll find that $AMZN has a ZERO weighting.

The latest version of journalists grouping any company that uses a computer into the "Technology Sector" is Airbnb and DoorDash. Neither one of these are in the Tech sector, but instead are both in the Communications Index. Together $ABNB & $DASH represent a ZERO weighting in Tech.

Meanwhile these are the fairytales they feed you...

Japan continues to rally as it breaks out to new 29-year highs.

And just think, the Japanese Nikkei225 can rip another 40% from here and still not get back to its highs from the late 1980s. That's how long it takes a bubble of that magnitude to correct itself.

Let's remember, at its peak in 1989, the real estate value of just one single park in Tokyo was worth more than all of the real estate in the state of California combined. I've been to that park. It's ok I guess. But not worth more than all of Cali, quite obviously.

So here's what that Nikkei chart looks like today:

This week we're looking at a long setup in the FMCG sector.

This year has been fantastic for one sector in particular, and that is the Pharma sector. Stocks that had been in a secular bear move, reversed their trend late last year and have been trading higher since.

Let’s see if there are any opportunities in the current set-up as the sector prepares for its next leg higher (along with IT).

During bull markets I always get asked about when it's going to stop. I don't get asked about stock market bubbles and unsustainable valuations during bear markets, that's for sure. Those environments come with other kinds of funny questions.

This morning I woke up to one of my college buddies telling me that tech valuations are too high and that this has to be a bubble.

Journalists ask me every day how this can possibly continue. "Too high", they say. "Too fast", they tell me. "Fed Printing", they claim. "It's only 5 stocks!!!"... I can't.

Anyway, maybe this is the top. Maybe we are about to crash. Maybe valuations are too high....

But there's no evidence at all that this is the top. New All-time highs are not characteristic of downtrends. They are things we see regularly in uptrends. In fact, new highs are perfectly normal, and should even be expected in this type of environment.

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Dividend aristocrats are easily some of the most desirable investments on Wall Street. These are the names that have increased dividends for at least 25 years, providing steadily increasing income to longer-term minded shareholders.

As you can imagine, the companies making up this prestigious list are some of the most recognizable brands in the world. Coca-Cola, Walmart, and Johnson & Johnson are just a few of the household names making the cut.

Here at All Star Charts, we like to stay ahead of the curve. That’s why we're turning our attention to the future aristocrats. In an effort to seek out the next generation of the cream-of-the-crop dividend plays, we’re curating a list of stocks that have raised their payouts every year for 5-9 years.

Introducing the Young Aristocrats. We like to say these are "stocks that pay you to make money". Imagine if years of consistent dividend growth and high momentum & relative strength had a baby, leaving you with the best of the emerging dividend giants that are outperforming the averages.

This week, Julie and I talk about some of the things that stood out the most on last week's Monthly Chart Review.

Among them were the Market Capitalization rotation into Small & Mid-caps and out of those Mega-cap stocks.

Germany and Japan making new highs leading the international charge higher.

And which rocks would we rather own: Precious Metals or Base Metals?

Check it out: