Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the two weeks ended June 7, 2024. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.
What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.
We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.
There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.
Click here for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.
Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual...
In what has become pretty well documented over the past two years or so, our Uncle Warren Buffett has been accumulating a very large position in Occidental Petroleum $OXY. He's been making his buys in the neighborhood of $55-60 per share. Like clockwork, every time $OXY has traded below $60 per share, we see new Form-4 filings disclosing another large purchase by Berkshire Hathaway.
We at All Star Charts were a little ahead of the crowd on this trade, having sold puts numerous times in $OXY over the past two years at these levels to take advantage of elevated options premiums and the "Buffett Support Zone."
But it is no longer a secret. And there are many more people than us who are aware of this trade -- which, to me, makes it vulnerable.
If Buffet's buying can no longer support the stock price, or if/when he decides he's got enough and stops his accumulating, we might experience a narrative shift that could result in a swift repricing of this stock to lower prices. This makes selling naked puts a riskier proposition. And right now, even worse, the premiums in $OXY puts are pretty...
From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos
The most significant insider buy on today's list comes via a Form 4 filing by Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway.
Buffett and Berkshire continue to accumulate shares of Occidental Petroleum $OXY, disclosing yet another purchase, this one worth roughly $153 million.
We take a detailed look at Buffett's and Berkshire's OXY purchases and the share price reaction below.
From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos
The most significant insider buy on today’s list comes via a Form 4 filing by Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway.
Buffett and Berkshire continue to accumulate shares of Occidental Petroleum $OXY, disclosing yet another purchase, this one worth roughly $153 million.
We take a detailed look at Buffett’s and Berkshire’s OXY purchases and the share price reaction below.
This was a rather positive week for the crypto complex, with Bitcoin looking poised to break higher.
At the same time, crypto stocks seem to be front running a Bitcoin breakout, particularly as merger activity in the mining sector has buoyed the price of these stocks.
Last week saw short-term weakness manifest in crypto markets. For the time being, I still have a neutral short-term bias in the context of a longer-term bullish outlook.
Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.
We've also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut.
These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.
It's got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.
The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.
We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.
Let's dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.
Yet we’re all forced to navigate the near-term selling pressure.
Earlier this week, Dr. Copper found support right where we would expect – a key retracement level:
Buyers stepped in and drove prices higher, regaining more than 3% since mid-week. However, sellers are having the last laugh this morning as they take it back and some before lunchtime.
Copper futures fell 3.50% during the morning session.
G7 central banks are cutting rates – first Canada and now the European Union.
Will the Federal Reserve follow suit in the coming months?
Investors seem to think so…
US 30-year T-bond futures have posted positive returns six days in a row – their longest winning streak since April last year.
T-bonds also broke above a key polarity zone, triggering our buy signals from last month:
I’ve made clear my disdain for buying treasuries, so the long bond trade will likely be a winner. After all, the best trades are often the hardest to take.
But price is sliding back below our risk level following the May nonfarm payroll data. And a yearlong downtrend line continues to act as resistance. Until T-bond futures break through resistance, the downtrend remains intact,...
It's been a minute since I've bought anything on eBay. But, by the look of the chart, I must be the outlier as it appears there is still good business there and market participants appear to agree.
Here's what my Analysts had to say about $EBAY in a recent 2 to 100 Club report:
eBay is completing a rounding bottom reversal as it reclaims the 38.2% retracement level. This level has acted as resistance multiple times in the past, making it a great place to define our risk. If this breakout sticks, the primary trend is higher, and we want to be long against the 53 level.
On a relative basis, the stock is working its way higher out of a bearish-to-bullish reversal pattern versus its peers. If the reversal pattern is completed on absolute terms, we expect the stock to outperform its peers over longer timeframes.
We want to buy EBAY above 53, with a target of 64 over the coming 2-4 months.