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Happy Fibonacci Day 6.18

June 18, 2024

Big day today!

6/18 represents the Golden Ratio on the calendar.

Math nerds all over the world are celebrating!

But how do we profit from this ratio?

Where does it fit into the market?

Here's a great example.

This is the Dow Jones Transportation Average retracing exactly 61.8% of the entire rally from the lows last Fall, and up to the highs this Spring.

Buffett Buys Another $176 Million Worth of OXY

June 18, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The most significant insider buy on today's list comes via a Form 4 filing by Warren Buffett.

Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway continue to buy shares of Occidental Petroleum Corporation $OXY.

This is their third filing of the month, this time for $176 million.

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Buffett Buys Another $176 Million Worth of OXY

June 18, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The most significant insider buy on today’s list comes via a Form 4 filing by Warren Buffett.

Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway continue to buy shares of Occidental Petroleum Corporation $OXY.

This is their third filing of the month, this time for $176 million.

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The Minor Leaguers (06-17-2024)

June 18, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The Minor Leaguers.

We've had some great trades come out of this small-cap-focused column since we launched it back in 2020 and started rotating it with our flagship bottom-up scan, Under the Hood.

For the first year or so, we focused only on Russell 2000 stocks with a market cap between $1 and $2B.

That was fun, but we wanted to branch out a bit and allow some new stocks to find their way onto our list.

We expanded our universe to include some mid-caps.

To make the cut for our Minor Leaguers list now, a company must have a market cap between $1 and $4B.

And it doesn't have to be a Russell component — it can be any US-listed equity. With participation expanding around the globe, we want all those ADRs in our universe.

The same price and liquidity filters are applied. Then, as always, we sort by proximity to new highs in order to...

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All Star Charts Gold Rush

Gold Continues to Shine

June 17, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Gold bugs have seen brighter days.

Silver is underperforming Gold. The corrections in Platinum and Palladium are burrowing deeper beneath our breakout levels. And the Gold Miners ETF $GDX is printing fresh lows versus the broader market. 

It doesn’t sound bullish to me.

Yet gold futures are solid as a rock!

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All Star Charts Gold Rush

Gold Continues to Shine

June 17, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Gold bugs have seen brighter days.

Silver is underperforming Gold. The corrections in Platinum and Palladium are burrowing deeper beneath our breakout levels. And the Gold Miners ETF $GDX is printing fresh lows versus the broader market. 

It doesn’t sound bullish to me.

Yet gold futures are solid as a rock!

[Options] The Bears Are Blocking the Square

June 17, 2024

In today's episode of the Flow Show, Steve and I navigate some trade ideas that would help add bearish portfolio diversification in case the stock market wants to catch its breath this summer.

We discussed two specifically ugly charts, and we both agreed that Block Inc $SQ offers the best opportunity as an options trade.

Watch the video above for all the color you need.

Here's the chart for $SQ:

Here's the Play:

Director Legoretta Buys 22,617,909 PROK Shares

June 17, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The most significant insider buy on today’s list comes via a Form 4 filing by ProKidney Corp $PROK director Pablo G. Legorreta.

Legorreta acquired 22,617,909 PROK shares, equivalent to $54 million.

Hot Corner Insider

Director Legoretta Buys 22,617,909 PROK Shares

June 17, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The most significant insider buy on today’s list comes via a Form 4 filing by ProKidney Corp $PROK director Pablo G. Legorreta.

Legorreta acquired 22,617,909 PROK shares, equivalent to $54 million.

No New Highs. So What?

June 16, 2024

On Friday you saw the highest weekly close for the S&P500 in history.

Do you know how many stocks on the entire NYSE closed at a new 52-week high?

12.

Meanwhile in ETF land, the Nasdaq100 $QQQ and S&P500 $SPY hit new all-time highs on Friday, but we also saw fresh 6-week lows for the NYSE Advance-Decline line. It was also a new 6-month low for the Nasdaq Advance-Decline line, for those keeping score at home.

Here's a chart of all the S&P Sectors on an equally-weighted basis over the past 15 weeks. Consumer Discretionary has been the worst. Utilities have been the best by far.

You'll notice that the Equally-weighted S&P500 and Nasdaq100 have made no progress or are down during this period.

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Commodities: Hunting for an Uncorrelated Trade

June 14, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

I’m avoiding the US dollar and interest rate chopfest.

That includes interest rate-sensitive commodities like crude, copper, and gold.

So, let’s check in with a commodity group that walks to the beat of its own drum…

The New York City Softs: Cocoa, Coffee, Cotton, and Sugar.

First up, Cocoa. 

I’m sure you’ve seen Cocoa’s 45-year base breakout to new all-time highs:

Cocoa futures have been the main attraction, showcasing a face-ripping rally reminiscent of the 1970s.

In the 70s, Cocoa experienced two 400-plus rallies, each spanning approximately two years trough-to-peak (December ‘71 to April ‘74 and June ‘75 to August ‘77).

Cocoa might have another explosive rally in the tank!

For now, it’s bouncing between two critical extension levels:

Bulls are supporting higher prices at roughly 7,200, while bears are capping the next rally at 10,...

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The Hall of Famers (06-14-2024)

June 14, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Crowdstrike and Arista Networks.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

*Click table to enlarge view

We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month.

Then, we sort the...