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Bond Crash Impacting A Portfolio Near You

April 16, 2024

Gold is one of the biggest winners so far in 2024.

But you can argue that it's really the commodities complex that is leading, and Gold is just one of them.

Check out the YTD returns here.

But the unwind in Gold stocks relative to other types of stocks looks to be just getting going.

Here is the Gold Bugs Index, which is loaded with all the top mining stocks, compared to the S&P500.

Notice the dramatic underperformance for so long, followed by a failed breakdown, and now the squeeze is just getting started:

Three Big Trades for 2024

April 16, 2024

I have three big ideas to take advantage of the current markets.

It's pretty obvious to everyone now that this year is not like last year.

Some people are pretending it still is.

You are welcome to lie to yourself if you'd like.

But I have the data.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is flat so far in 2024. Small-caps are actually still down.

It's Crude Oil, Silver, Gold and Copper leading the way:

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Multiple Insiders Report SAIC Purchases

April 16, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider transaction on today’s list comes in multiple Form 4 filings by the CEO, the general counsel, and the executive vice president of operations of Science Applications International Corporation $SAIC.

Among them the three directors revealed combined purchases of $490,670 in SAIC shares.

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Under the Hood (04-15-2024)

April 15, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza.

Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the two weeks ended April 12, 2024. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.

What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.

We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.

There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.

Click here for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.

Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual...

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All Star Charts Gold Rush

A New Miner to Track as Gold Pumps the Brakes

April 15, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Readers often ask how long it will take for an open trade to reach our target. 

I wish I knew. 

Only the market can answer that question, as gold did last Friday…

All Star Charts Gold Rush

A New Miner to Track as Gold Pumps the Brakes

April 15, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Readers often ask how long it will take for an open trade to reach our target. 

I wish I knew. 

Only the market can answer that question, as Gold did last Friday…

Six weeks!

It was only a matter of weeks — not months, not quarters — before gold futures hit our first objective:

 

What a face-ripper!

If this isn’t a clear indication of a new secular bull run for precious metals, what else do you need to see?

Luckily for anyone thinking about adding to positions or locking in profits, the extension level at approximately 2,450 marks a logical area for the rally to take a breather.

It doesn’t mean it will. Nevertheless, it’s still a good idea to take some profits here. 

Once buyers drive gold above 2,465, we can add to existing long positions (or open new ones) with a rough target of 3,300.

Meanwhile, Platinum and Palladium are looking juicy…

These low-profile precious metals offer excellent opportunities as gold digests its gains.

I highlighted Platinum last week as it challenges a critical breakout level. And our...

[Options] The Right Trade for This Environment

April 15, 2024

In today's Flow Show, me and Steve Strazza took a look at some potential directional bets, but we both agreed that the right trade for today is one that would benefit from some sideways trading action.

With the broader markets looking a bit indecisive here, making a strong directional bet (in either direction) feels like a high-risk proposition. But there's a big cap name currently stuck in a range that is offering us nice options premiums to bet on further sideways action. We'll likely have to hold through an earnings event to earn our profit, but with a defined risk and a large margin for error, I like our chances.

They're Stuck Below 2021 Highs

April 15, 2024

There is a big theme going on right now - and that's the inability for important indexes to get above their 2021 highs.

You're seeing it at the individual stock level, you're seeing it across specific sectors and industry groups, and you're definitely seeing it in the S&P500 and Nasdaq100 Equally-weighted.

These indexes below eliminate the excessive weightings in certain stocks and sectors and equally-weight all of its components.

Look at both of them still stuck below their 2021 highs:

Buffett, Berkshire Report a $50 Million LSXMA Buy

April 15, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider move on today’s list comes via Form 4 filing by Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway.

Buffett and Berkshire reported purchases in The Liberty SiriusXM Group $LSXMA for a total amount of $50 million.

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Buffett, Berkshire Report a $50 Million LSXMA Buy

April 15, 2024

From the Desk of Steve Strazza and Alfonso Depablos

The largest insider move on today’s list comes via Form 4 filing by Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway.

Buffett and Berkshire reported purchases in The Liberty SiriusXM Group $LSXMA for a total amount of $50 million.

All Star Charts Crypto

The Shakeout

April 15, 2024

Cryptocurrency markets experienced a downturn this weekend due to geopolitical tension.

I believe there's no advantage in reacting to such headlines; if anything, they provoke emotional decision-making and obscure our capacity to rely on market trends. Remember, it's the flow of money that generates profit, not rumors and narratives.

Undoubtedly, geopolitical tensions have affected cryptocurrency markets, reinforcing my view of a "chopsolidation." Nevertheless, I'm also positioning myself for a short-term rally.

 

All Star Charts Crypto

Crypto Power Rankings for 4/12/2024

April 15, 2024

Every week, we create a Power Rankings table that lists the market-cap rank of the top 20 cryptocurrencies. This allows us to see the winners and losers as they climb the market-cap ladder.

All Star Charts Crypto

Weekly Emerging Cryptocurrencies for 4/12/2024

April 15, 2024

 We've built a proprietary scan that notifies us whenever a cryptocurrency exceeds a certain market-cap threshold for the first time. When there's an up and coming cryptocurrency, we're the first one to know about it.

This scan flags breakthrough cryptocurrencies, allowing us to capitalize on lucrative opportunities before they become mainstream.

Big Mac Inflation Is Real

April 14, 2024

This just in: It's getting more expensive for people to get fat.

While many investors are more confused than ever looking at "CPI", whatever that is, the real inflation gauge is giving off a serious warning.

Inflation is here.

Look at the price of Big Macs at McDonald's skyrocketing:

Dow hits New 52-week Lows Priced in Real Money

April 13, 2024

The disaster for the Dow Jones Industrial Average continues.

Yesterday the Dow closed at a new 52-week low, priced in "Real" Money.

When you look at the Dow priced in Fiat Currency, it's also acting weak, actually DOWN since the start of February.

Here's what that looks like:

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Platinum Is on Deck

April 12, 2024

From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Nobody is paying attention to platinum.

It’s easy to overlook while gold shines and silver rips. But during the last commodity supercycle, platinum traded at a premium to the famous shiny yellow rock (and still does regarding retail jewelry).

Platinum was a powerhouse!

Check out gold and platinum futures overlaid going back to the 1970s:

Both peaked within a month of each other in the early 1980s and experienced rip-roaring rallies during the 2000s.

These two markets trend together over longer time frames. If this is an actual bull run for precious metals and an honest-to-god commodity supercycle, platinum will follow gold’s lead

In fact, it's breaking out of a multi-month base right now:

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