Welcome back to Under the Hood, where we'll cover all the action for the two weeks ended March 29, 2024. This report is published bi-weekly, in rotation with The Minor Leaguers.
What we do here is analyze the most popular stocks during the week and find opportunities to either join in and ride these momentum names higher, or fade the crowd and bet against them.
We use a variety of sources to generate the list of most popular names.
There are so many new data sources available that all we need to do is organize and curate them in a way that shows us exactly what we want: a list of stocks that are seeing an unusual increase in investor interest.
Click here for a behind-the-scenes look at our process.
Whether we’re measuring increasing interest based on large institutional purchases, unusual...
Steve Strazza brought up charts of the energy, materials, and commodities sectors on today's Flow Show. These are "peer indexes," meaning they often trend together.
And the current trends suggest we need to add more bullish positions in these areas.
The one name that stood out the most was Freeport McMoRan $FCX:
But given the run we've already seen here, we need to allow for the possibility of some digestion which may put a governor on the speed on any breakouts from here.
To position ourselves for this possibility, we're going to utilize a Call Calendar spread.
Happy Easter weekend, everyone! I hope you're all enjoying some quality time away from screens, surrounded by loved ones.
These pauses remind us that amidst our trading and investing pursuits, the ultimate goal is to enhance our lives and the lives of those dear to us. It's about using our financial gains to bring happiness and wellbeing to ourselves and others.
Personally, I've been soaking up the joys of Hawkes Bay, New Zealand this weekend, reconnecting with my whanau (family), many of whom I haven't had the pleasure of seeing in quite some time.
Today, I want to provide a brief interim update on the price action we're seeing, and specifically discuss macro markets in the context of this upcoming halving.
Gold just went out at a new all-time high. That's over $2250 for an ounce of Gold. The most ever.
And it shouldn't be that surprising really. Gold has already been making all-time highs priced in other currencies like Euro, Pounds, Yen and Rupee, among many others.
Now Gold is making new all-time highs priced in US Dollars as well.
Notice how Gold and Copper don't move in different directions for too long historically.
This isn't just a Gold thing. This is a metals thing.
Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.
We've also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut.
These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Mercado Libre and Shopify.
It's got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.
The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.
We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.
Let's dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.
Crude oil is flipping weeks of indecision into conviction following a hard retest that frustrated traders earlier this month.
Let’s take a look…
Check out crude’s upside resolution to fresh five-month highs:
Yesterday marked the completion of a tight bull flag – a typical characteristic of an uptrend.
The path of least resistance points higher toward our 95 target.
However, I would be remiss not to mention momentum. The 14-day RSI has yet to register an overbought reading above 70.
This isn’t an immediate concern. But if the crude oil rally does have legs, momentum will reach overbought conditions. In fact, the energy sector's recent performance is showing no signs of stress.
Crude oil is flipping weeks of indecision into conviction following a hard retest that frustrated traders earlier this month.
Let’s take a look…
Check out crude’s upside resolution to fresh five-month highs:
Yesterday marked the completion of a tight bull flag – a typical characteristic of an uptrend.
The path of least resistance points higher toward our 95 target.
However, I would be remiss not to mention momentum. The 14-day RSI has yet to register an overbought reading above 70.
This isn’t an immediate concern. But if the crude oil rally does have legs, momentum will reach overbought conditions. In fact, the energy sector’s recent performance is showing no signs of stress.
The Oil Refiners ETF $CRAK is trading at all-time highs, and the Energy Sector ETF $XLE isn’t far behind. Plus, energy stocks are popping up everywhere on our bottoms-up scans—from the International Hall of Famers to Freshly Squeezed.
It’s not just oil and gas names. Natural resource stocks are ripping through our breakout levels,...