Last week, we identified a bullish momentum divergence in the commodities versus stocks ratio at a shelf of former lows.
The evidence suggests we're on the verge of a new era of commodity outperformance.
If we're right, it's time to prepare a list of our favorite setups to seize this opportunity.
We've already covered promising setups in uranium and solar.
Now, let's focus on oil and gas, and here's why:
First, crude oil, heating oil, and gasoline have been consolidating above a shelf of former highs for more than two years, and the risk is skewed in favor of the bulls.
Until the bears can resolve these consolidations to the downside, we want to continue betting these levels hold as support.
Our International Hall of Famers list is composed of the 100 largest US-listed international stocks, or ADRs.
We've also sprinkled in some of the largest ADRs from countries that did not make the market cap cut.
These stocks range from some well-known mega-cap multinationals such as Toyota Motor and Royal Dutch Shell to some large-cap global disruptors such as Sea Ltd and Shopify.
It's got all the big names and more–but only those that are based outside the US. You can find all the largest US stocks on our original Hall of Famers list.
The beauty of these scans is really in their simplicity.
We take the largest names each week and then apply technical filters in a way that the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.
Based on the market environment, we can also flip the scan on its head and filter for weakness.
Let's dive in and take a look at some of the most important stocks from around the world.
The most significant insider transaction today is a Form 4 filing by Carl Icahn.
Icahn added 19,174 shares of CVR Partners $UAN, marking an additional investment of $1.3 million. He now owns around $4 million in shares, representing a 37.74% ownership stake in the company.
When heavyweights like Icahn step up, it's always worth paying attention.
Carl Icahn is one of the most successful and influential investors of all time, known for pioneering activist investing.
Notable wins include $2 billion from Netflix, shareholder reforms at Apple, and profits from Texaco and TWA.
Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from November 21, 2024:
Pictet Asset Management filed a 13G for Five9 $FIVN revealing an increase in ownership from 6.00% to 9.10%.
In another Form 4, Control Empresarial de Capitales SA bought 250,000 shares of PBF Energy Inc $PBF,...
I define an uptrend as when the 50-day moving average is above the 200-day moving average.
It's a simple and straightforward approach.
Here’s the chart:
(right-click and open image in new tab to zoom in)
Let's break down what the chart shows:
The blue line in the top panel shows the price of the S&P 500 index.
The black line at the bottom represents the number of S&P 500 sectors with a 50-day moving average greater than its 200-day moving average.
The Takeaway: In a healthy bull market, both the 50-day and 200-day moving averages typically move in the same direction, with the 50-day moving average positioned above the 200-day moving average.
This week, the energy sector signaled a golden crossover (when the 50-day average crosses above the 200-day average). This development has brought all 11 S&P 500 sectors back into uptrend mode. Signaling a continuation of the healthy participation...
I was actually a customer of All Star Charts Premium research before ever meeting or working with JC.
When I was just finding my way into technical analysis, guys like Brian Shannon, Frank Cappelleri, and JC really resonated with me.
Their charts, their analysis, the way they viewed and discussed markets… They were speaking my language.
I wanted to do what these guys were doing. End of story.
Without them as my early mentors, I never would have had the faith and courage to make the big career change I did.
Over time, JC and I got to know each other over email. We found out we went to the same college and both liked food, sports, and charts… a lot.
We met at a CMT symposium later that year.
I started doing some project work for him while I was still consulting for the Big 4. I begged him to hire me for a while. He finally did, and the rest is history.
I joke with him sometimes that I’m the best investment he ever made.
But seriously, it was a match made in heaven. Just ...
Here's the replay and chartbook from today's livestream. Note that we talk strategy every Thursday at 11 a.m. ET, and I answer questions in the chat room.
Be sure to join us and maximize your return potential.
When discussing the deck for today's call, Alfonso and I agreed that the best chart had to be Lovesac $LOVE.
Just look how orderly this rounding bottom breakout is playing out.
We scooped up the 12/20 $35 calls, hoping they’d be in-the-money by the time the theta decay window set in.
With the stock up 7% today, that’s exactly what happened. And it came just in the nick of time, as today marks 29 days until the expiration of our calls.
Momentum is firing up, with the daily RSI-14 getting overbought for the first time since the summer.
LOVE is also sporting a momentum buy signal on the daily, weekly, and monthly charts. Talk about trend alignment across multiple...
Paul J. Friborg director at Estee Lauder Companies $EL continues to build a position in his own company’s stock.
This time, Friborg revealed a $5 million purchase, following a $10 million purchase earlier this week.
Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from November 20, 2024:
In another Form 4, Merchants Bank $MBIN director Patrick D. O'brien revealed a purchase of MBIN stock with a total value of $2,000,000.
The CEO of Enphase Energy $ENPH revealed the acquisition of 5,000 shares, equivalent to $308,727.
Solar stocks have fallen off a cliff since they peaked in 2021. But we’re now seeing multiple executives stepping in to buy shares in their own companies.
We’ve seen filings from top decision-makers at SolarEdge Technologies $SEDG, Sunnova Energy...
The big theme this week is textbook retests. We’re seeing this kind of price action across the board right now.
One that stands out is the large cap healthcare index.
The healthcare sector is finding its footing after experiencing significant downside pressure in recent weeks.
Price is currently testing a critical level of former resistance marked by a shelf of prior cycle highs.
With so much price memory here, this area represents a logical level for XLV to catch a bid.
And so far it is. The bulls are digging in and flipping this old resistance zone into support.
The line in the sand is $140. As long as XLV holds above this level, I’ll give the bulls the benefit of the doubt. This area offers a great place for a defined risk entry for a potential bounce.
I’m also watching how the smallest and most volatile stocks,...