From the Desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Names with high short interests continue to work in this environment as the bears struggle to take down even the worst stocks.

As such, it's time to run it back with another Freshly Squeezed report.

Here's how we do things...

We find the most heavily shorted stocks in the market. We wait for momentum to come into these names. And then we ride them higher as the bears get squeezed.

We got new short data this week, so let's dive in and talk about it.

Our scan is quite simple. It is designed to identify stocks with the most aggressive short positions.

When a stock is shorted, it means incremental buyers are waiting in the wings to close out their bearish bets.

We love this, as new buyers are the one true catalyst for higher prices.

When shorts are proven wrong, they become buyers of the stock. In many cases, this happens as momentum flows into these names and fuels massive short-covering rallies.

For this reason, we pair short-interest data with short-term momentum overlays, as this combination is needed to spark the moves we’re looking for.

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From the Desk of Ian Culley @IanCulley

Perhaps gold and silver are stuck beneath overhead supply. 

But that’s not stopping gold mining stocks from hitting new highs…

In today's Flow Show, Steve and I put our heads together to find a good trade to take advantage of elevated options premiums in a big-cap name that may have seen the worst of the selling and is now may be putting in a pivot.

That name is Amazon $AMZN and here's the chart where it stands right now:

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

1. No new positions today.
2. Rolling XLK to September.
3. No exits since the last report.
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let’s dig in!

The most significant insider buy on today's list comes via a Form 4 filing by Abdiel Capital LP. The investment firm continues to build a position in Appian Corporation $APPN.

This time, Abdiel revealed a purchase of roughly $4.3 million, increasing its ownership stake to approximately 18.50%.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from July 26, 2024:

Neuberger Berman Group LLC filed a 13D for E2open Parent Holdings Inc $ETWO revealing an increase in ownership from 9.95% to 12.80%.

Last month, APPN experienced a nasty whipsaw, making multi-year lows.

However, it quickly recovered, resulting in a major failure at a shelf of former lows:

As long as price stays above 30, bulls are in control.

Stay tuned. We'll be back on Tuesday...

The Ethereum ETFs finally hit the market last week in a "sell the news" fashion. This dragged Ether lower last week.

Does it feel like everything is working in this market?

Most things are.

And the strongest industry groups have already been making new all-time highs.

Look no further than Aerospace & Defense coming out of this multi-year base to new record levels:

This is the weekly post that aggregates all the charts we put together throughout the week and organizes them all into one, easy to flip through deck.

All week I had people telling me about the severe market correction that stocks were in.

But as I went through all the stocks, I actually found that it was the exact opposite.

Look at the Dow Jones Industrial Average going out this week at another new all-time high:

From the Desks of Ian Culley @IanCulley and Sam Gatlin @Sam_Gatlin

It’s time to buy natty gas.

A bullish momentum swing is on the verge of flashing green. And seasonal tailwinds are due to pick up as price pulls back. 

Plus, the dominant four-year cycle is approaching the next expansion phase.

Buckle up!

Check out the monthly natty gas chart with a MAC-D momentum indicator in the lower pane:

The monthly MAC-D is nearing a bullish crossover at extreme oversold conditions. This long-term momentum setup occurs after cyclical lows, marking critical inflection points in 2012, 2016, and 2020.  

Also, all three previous natty gas cycles hit bottom in the spring and ripped higher toward the end of summer – the start of the best three months of the year (August- October).

I expect stiff seasonal tailwinds to start whipping buyers into a frenzy by the second week of August:

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From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Our Hall of Famers list is composed of the 150 largest US-based stocks.

These stocks range from the mega-cap growth behemoths like Apple and Microsoft – with market caps in excess of $2T – to some of the new-age large-cap disruptors such as Moderna, Square, and Snap.

It has all the big names and more.

It doesn’t include ADRs or any stock not domiciled in the US. But don’t worry; we developed a separate universe for that. Click here to check it out.

The Hall of Famers is simple.

We take our list of 150 names and then apply our technical filters so the strongest stocks with the most momentum rise to the top.

Let’s dive right in and check out what these big boys are up to.

Here’s this week’s list:

*Click table to enlarge view

We filter out any laggards that are down -5% or more relative to the S&P 500 over the trailing month.

Then, we sort the...

From the Desks of Ian Culley @IanCulley and Sam Gatlin @Sam_Gatlin

It’s time to buy natty gas.

A bullish momentum swing is on the verge of flashing green. And seasonal tailwinds are due to pick up as price pulls back. 

Plus, the dominant four-year cycle is approaching the next expansion phase.

Buckle up!

Another man's trash is another man's treasure.

And that certainly is true for Republic Services.

As can be seen in the chart below, $RSG has certainly been winning over the long run. And with this week's earning report sending the down 5%, it feels like a great opportunity to get positioned on the dip.

I had no plans to put a new trade on today. 

In fact, with all the selling in big tech, i thought it would be a good day to leave the office a bit early, get outside, and let the dust settle. Come back next week fresh.

But, here I am writing… because this setup is just too good to miss.

We had an unusual options splash come across our scan just earlier in Cinemark Holdings $CNK.

We know the name well as we’ve been stalking this one for a Freshly Squeezed setup. 

Cinemark Holdings has a 25% short interest and 10x days to cover ratio. 

While the unusual options activity and high short interest are great, what is even more bullish is the fact CNK is in the process of completing a textbook bearish-to-bullish reversal.

Here’s what that looks like:

Sector rotation is the lifeblood of any bull market, and we don’t expect things to be any different this time around.

After a prolonged period without progress, small caps are back in the driver's seat. The Russell 2000 just capped off a bearish-to-bullish trend reversal with a decisive resolution.

At the same time, the profit-taking in mega-cap growth stocks has been non-stop these past two weeks.

The chart below shows the Russell 2000 printing its best 5-day streak of outperformance relative to the Technology Sector… in history:

We call these kinds of moves "initiation thrusts" because it is common for them to occur at inflection points, or the beginning of new trends.

In the case of the above, this extreme reading is telling us that small caps are ready to make a turn versus big tech.

Also notice where all of this is taking place. The extreme momentum in favor of small-caps is...

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

1. No new positions today.
2. Rolling IBB to September.
3. No exits since the last report.
4. Current status of open campaigns.

Let’s dig in!

The most significant insider buy on today's list comes via a Form 4 filing by the chairman and CEO of Truist Financial Corporation $TFC, William H. Rogers Jr.

Rogers reported a purchase of 57,300 TFC shares, equivalent to $2.5 million.

Liberty 77 Capital L.P bought 149,682 shares of Lions Gate Entertainment Corp $LGF.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from July 25, 2024:

In another Form 4, William R. Johnson, chairman of the board of directors of United Parcel Service $UPS, revealed a purchase worth $643,035.

Director Robert W. Stallings reported a purchase of 5,500 shares in Texas Capital Bancshares $TCBI.

TCBI has been carving out a base for roughly three years.

Price is pressing against the range's upper bounds as buyers absorb all the overhead supply at this resistance zone:

The level to...

The big story this week has been the Ethereum ETF.

From the early data I'm seeing, it doesn't look to be as spectacular of a launch compared to the Bitcoin ETFs. But this is understandable and was expected.

Here's this week's crypto roundup. It's an opportunity for us to take a step back, set aside the distractions, and delve into the key charts shaping the crypto complex.