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[Options Premium] Consulting With the Consultants

February 12, 2025

I've consulted with the consultants, who agree that we should buy 52-week highs that would put us in spitting distance of all-time highs.

And so I shall do just that.

Today's name has somewhat elevated implied volatility, and it's a high-priced stock, so I'll be playing it with a call spread to keep my exposure in check and leverage the out-of-the-money call premiums in my favor.

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 2/12/25

February 12, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. No new positions today.
  2. Adjustment to ITB position.
  3. Closed ARKK at profit target.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

2 to 100 Club,
All Star Charts Premium

2 to 100 Club (02-12-2025)

February 12, 2025

From the desk of Steve Strazza @Sstrazza

Welcome to The 2 to 100 Club.

In this scan, we look to identify the strongest growth stocks as they climb the market-cap ladder from small- to mid- to large- and, ultimately, to mega cap status (over $200B).

Once they graduate from small-cap to mid-cap status (over $2B), they come on our radar. Likewise, when they surpass the roughly $30B mark, they roll off our list.

But the scan doesn't just end there.

We only want to look at the strongest growth industries in the market, as that is typically where these potential 50-baggers come from.

Some of the best performers in recent decades – stocks like Priceline, Amazon, Netflix, Salesforce, and myriad others – would have been on this list at some point during their journey to becoming the market behemoths they are today.

When you look at the stocks in our table, you'll notice we're only focused on Technology and Growth industry groups such as Software, Semiconductors, Online...

This Beverage Company Is Nearly 150 Years Old: It's Still Growing Like A Weed 📊

February 12, 2025

Coca-Cola was founded in 1886 in Atlanta, Georgia, by a pharmacist named Dr. John Stith Pemberton.

Over the nearly 150 years of its existence, the brand has grown to be known and loved worldwide.

Despite its global saturation, the company is still growing like a weed.

In 2024, it grew revenues by 12% and increased its operating margin by 90 basis points to 24%.

The management team provided stronger-than-expected guidance for 2025 during Tuesday's conference call with investors and analysts. 

The market loved it and rewarded the stock with a higher stock price.

Let's talk about what else happened 👇

Here are the latest earnings reactions from the S&P 500: 

*click the image to enlarge it

DuPont de Nemours $DD beat its expectations and rallied nearly 7% with a reaction score of 5. They didn't just report a great quarter; the management team also provided better-than-expected guidance. 

In addition, it announced the acceleration of the intended spin-off of its electronics business, which is targeted for November 1st, 2025.

Ecolab $ECL beat its expectations and rallied over 6% with...

Hot Corner Insider

Buffett's Berkshire Buys Another $35 Million Worth of OXY

February 12, 2025

Estee Lauder $EL director Paul Fribourg just doubled down, adding another 45,500 EL shares to his position.

Meanwhile, over at Match Group $MTCH, it’s not just one insider—it’s a coordinated move. Both the CEO and a director dropped $2.15 million on their own stock.

When leadership moves in tandem like this, it’s often a signal that they believe brighter days are ahead for the company.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from February 10, 2025:

 

Sylebra Capital made a serious move, buying 619,925 shares of PureCycle Technologies $PCT at $8.06.

The hedge fund has a history of making aggressive bets in tech and sustainability plays, backing names with long-term disruption potential.

Finally, insiders at MDU Resources $MDU, Becton Dickinson $BDX, and The...

ETF Power Rankings Archives

🔎 Large Cap Growth vs Small Cap Value

February 12, 2025
📊 Daily ETF Overview 

Noticeably, Large Cap Growth $IWF remains strong on the list of US indices while Small Cap Value $IWN struggles.

Taking the ratio between the two, you can clearly see IWF consolidating right beneath all time highs relative to IWN. Trends have a tendency to persist and this is a chart that is setup to continue working higher.

 
The Daily Number

The Daily Number 💯 Wednesday, February 12, 2025

February 12, 2025

Today's number is... 10

10 out of the 11 sectors in the S&P 500 are currently above their 50-day moving average.

Here’s the chart:

 

Let's break down what the chart shows:

  • The blue line in the top panel shows the price of the S&P 500 index.
  • The black line in the bottom panel shows the number of S&P 500 sectors above their 50-day Average.

The Takeaway: In early January of this year, all sectors were below their 50-day moving average. However, over the past 21 trading days, this breadth reading has steadily improved, with 10 out of the 11 sectors now above their 50-day moving averages. This is the highest level we've seen since late November of last year.

The only sector that remains below its 50-day moving average is Consumer Discretionary. This weakness in the Consumer Discretionary sector can be largely attributed to the decline of Tesla, which has recently experienced a sharp drop in price. 

The S&P 500 typically does not encounter significant challenges when most sectors are above their 50-...

Tech Dominance at a Crossroads?

February 11, 2025

Mega-cap growth has led the way for the past 15 years both in the U.S. and internationally.

One way to visualize this theme is by comparing the Dow to the Nasdaq.

The Dow leans toward blue-chip, value names, while the Nasdaq is packed with high-growth, tech-heavy stocks.

Right now, this relationship is at a critical inflection point as it tries to make a valid resolution to new record highs.

 

After breaking out above the dot-com bubble peak last year, the QQQ/DIA ratio hasn’t exactly ripped higher. Instead, it’s just hanging out above that key level.

If it rolls over and loses those former highs, it could signal a shift away from tech dominance. That’s where value and international markets might step in and take the leadership reins.

While many dismiss this theme, opportunities abroad have been stacking up. 

Just look at how Latin...

Walmart: Watch for Rising Multiples

February 11, 2025

Walmart shares are up more than 80% in the last year despite single-digit revenue and earnings growth. Time to take gains on the World’s Largest Retailer?

I’ve been long shares of Walmart for the last 5 years. First the good news:

WMT is at all-time highs, having just ripped through Big Round Number resistance at $100 and forming one of those giddily unsustainable Upward to the Right charts you don’t see much in 65 year old retailers growing revenue at a single-digit rate.

Which is related to the bad-news. Walmart has rarely, if ever been this expensive by almost any measure. In the last 5 years Walmart shares are up 162%. In that same time frame revenue is up 26% and operating income has grown 22%. The latter numbers are surprising if not shockingly anemic.

At 41x trailing 12 months Walmart’s PE (“your grandpa’s ratio!”) is roughly 2x the historical average for the last 15yrs. In the last 12 months Walmart has gone from $56 to over $100 and the PE has moved from 25 to 42. 

Walmart isn’t earning more money, it’s telling Wall St a better story.

“...

All Star Charts Gold Rush

[Gold Rush Video] The Dollar’s Decline: Fueling the Next Commodity Supercycle

February 11, 2025

The U.S. dollar is getting slammed, and gold bugs around the world are rejoicing.

In honor of this development, we just went live on YouTube to talk about it.

We discussed the extreme position in the foreign exchange markets and the implications of a weaker dollar.

In addition, we talked about what areas we believe stand to benefit most from this (hint, hint, we talked a lot about commodities).

Check it out 👇 

If you want to get our actionable trade ideas on gold, gold stocks, and other precious metals, join ASC Gold Rush today.

-Sam & Jason 

Options Paid to Play

[Options P2P] Daily Digest 2/11/25

February 11, 2025

In today’s Daily Digest, we’ll review the following:

  1. New position in XHB.
  2. No adjustments are needed today.
  3. Closed TLT at profit target.
  4. Current status of open campaigns.
  5. Volatility Snapshot.

Let’s dig in!

All Star Charts Premium

Just More Breadth Expansion

February 11, 2025

I've been getting this question quite a bit lately: Does Breadth even matter?

And the answer is yes. It's a market of stocks.

Go back and study all the bull markets in history. You'll notice how as the bull market progresses, you get more and more stocks participating to the upside. You tend to see sector rotation and new leaders emerging. You also see expansion in participation across countries around the globe.

This is what is currently happening. It's all of the above.

In Bear markets, however, these things do not happen. It's actually the opposite. You see fewer and fewer stocks going up, while more and more stocks are breaking to new lows. The sector rotation turns into the last leaders catching down to the losers. And you see stock market indexes in countries all over the world falling in price, not rising. 

When you weigh all the evidence, it's quite obvious that we are currently in the first category, and certainly not in the second one.

How can market breadth be deteriorating, when participation just keeps expanding?

How can you tell me with a straight face that breadth is weakening, when the...

The Market Was Lovin' This Earnings Report 🍔🍟

February 11, 2025

McDonald's $MCD missed its expectations across the board but rallied nearly 5% with a reaction score of 3.43.

The market was lovin' it. ;)

The company plans to open 2,200 restaurants in 2025, which is above average. This stock is all about growth.

McDonald's is also actively implementing its so-called "accelerating the arches" strategy, focusing on market share growth through value offerings, menu innovation, and culturally relevant marketing.

Let's talk about what else happened 👇

Here are the latest earnings reactions from the S&P 500: 

*click the image to enlarge it

Rockwell Automation $ROK beat its expectations and rallied 12.65% with a reaction score of 5.88. It was the stock's best earnings reaction EVER.

The company secured several multimillion-dollar strategic orders during the quarter, and the management team issued better-than-expected guidance.

ON Semiconductor $ON missed its expectations and fell over 8% with a reaction score -3.48. It was bad...

The company's revenue and gross margins are declining significantly. To make matters worse, the management...

Hot Corner Insider

Director Fribourg Adds 45,500 More EL Shares to His Position

February 11, 2025

Estee Lauder $EL director Paul Fribourg just doubled down, adding another 45,500 EL shares to his position.

Meanwhile, over at Match Group $MTCH, it’s not just one insider—it’s a coordinated move. Both the CEO and a director dropped $2.15 million on their own stock.

When leadership moves in tandem like this, it’s often a signal that they believe brighter days are ahead for the company.

Here’s The Hot Corner, with data from February 10, 2025:

 

Sylebra Capital made a serious move, buying 619,925 shares of PureCycle Technologies $PCT at $8.06.

The hedge fund has a history of making aggressive bets in tech and sustainability plays, backing names with long-term disruption potential.

Finally, insiders at MDU Resources $MDU, Becton Dickinson $BDX, and The...

ETF Power Rankings Archives

🔎 These 10 Countries are Outperforming America

February 11, 2025
📊 Daily ETF Overview 

A major standout here is how the American S&P 500 $SPY doesn't even feature on the top 10 on our global list.

We have regular attendees like Argentina, China, and Israel, but there are a number of countries that wouldn't necessarily come to mind. This includes Colombia $GXG, Italy $EWI, UAE $UAE, and Poland $EPOL, to name a few.

There's a growing list of participation taking place outside the United States, which could setup international equities to outperform the domestic U.S. market in 2025.

 

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The Daily Number

The Daily Number 💯 Tuesday, February 11, 2025

February 10, 2025

Today's number is... 75%

Currently, 75% (6 out of 8) of the indicators on my 2025 Bull Market Checklist are within their bull market zone. This suggests a healthy-ish bull market, creating a favorable backdrop for stocks.

Here is the table:

 

About the Table: This checklist combines various factors such as price, trends, momentum, breadth, sentiment & environmental models. Its purpose is to highlight turns toward risks or opportunities in the market.

This checklist was created to have a bird’s eye view rather than focusing on just one area of the market.

This high-level perspective will guide us in understanding the current market environment before allocating capital.

Please note that this checklist is not intended to serve as a trading signal; rather, it functions as a gauge of the current trading environment.

The Takeaway: The bulls appear to be re-entering the market to regain control. This week, my checklist has progressed further into the bullish zone, with the percentage of global markets moving above their 50-day average...

Alfonso’s Daily Note

The Real Risk Isn’t Owning China

February 10, 2025

A couple of days ago, I talked about three big reasons I’m long China.

Today, I want to go deeper into the overwhelming bearish sentiment around these stocks and why it could be the perfect catalyst for their next leg higher.

Whether it’s the doom-and-gloom headlines, distrust in the government, skepticism over earnings, or fears of an escalating trade war., the bottom line is— “these stocks are uninvestable.”

Just look at this chart. Short interest in the Large-Cap China ETF $FXI was recently at the highest level it's been in the last year and is still elevated today. 

 

Investors around the world keep piling in on the short side.

Every time short...